The Week 6 of the NFL will kick off with TNF with these two NFC teams on Thursday, October 13, so you can’t afford to miss out on the best Commanders vs. Bears betting pick and odds.
Chicago hopes to avoid the third loss in a row, but Washington is even in bigger trouble as the Commanders are looking to snap a four-game losing skid when they meet at Soldier Field. The Bears are 1-point favorites on JazzSports Sportsbook, while the total is set at 38 points. These conference rivals haven’t met since 2019.
Commanders couldn’t beat the Titans after a costly turnover late on
The Washington Commanders (1-4, 1-4 ATS) were on the brink of defeating the Tennessee Titans at home but left the stadium empty-handed after Carson Wentz’s interception in the red zone in the dying moments. The Commanders were better in total yards (384-241), but one costly error erased everything good they did in this loss.
Carson Wentz completed 25 of 38 passes for 359 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. Dyami Brown caught both Wentz’s TD passes, which were the first two touchdowns of his career, while he also led all the receivers with 105 yards on two receptions. Washington’s run offense was a non-factor here as they got only 43 yards on 17 attempts. Terry McLaurin and Curtis Samuel were solid in the air with 138 yards combined. Defensively, the Commanders had five sacks; Montez Sweat recorded two of them, while Cole Holcomb was a monster with a game-high 15 tackles.
T Sam Cosmi (thumb) is out and will not play on Thursday against Chicago. WR Jahan Dotson (hamstring) and TE Logan Thomas (calf), who were previously questionable to play, are now officially out.
Bears suffered the third consecutive defeat on the road
The Chicago Bears (2-3, 2-2-1 ATS) lost their third straight game away from home as they couldn’t upset the divisional rivals Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings got this 29-22 a lot harder than expected, and even though the Bears had a tie game until 2:26 to go when the hosts scored a winning TD, Chicago didn’t deserve to win. Minnesota was much better in total yards (429-271), first downs (29-14), and possession (36:44-23:16).
Justin Fields completed 15 of 21 passes for 208 yards and a touchdown. He added 47 rushing yards on seven attempts to lead the Bears in that segment. Velus Jones Jr. was the one to catch Fields’ lone TD pass, while running back David Montgomery, who is back from an injury, chipped in 62 receiving yards on four receptions. The Bears had three players with 10+ tackles: Jaylon Jones, Kyler Gordon, and Nicholas Morrow.
CB Jaylon Johnson (quad) is questionable to feature on Thursday against the Commanders, while the rest of the players are healthy and ready to go.
• 0-4 ATS in the last four games overall
• 3-9-1 ATS in the last 13 games following an ATS loss
• 2-5-1 ATS in the last eight vs. NFC rivals
• 3-1-1 ATS in the last five home games vs. a team with a losing road record
Washington Commanders vs. Chicago Bears Pick
We will have two different offenses in this edition of TNF. Washington’s main focus on offense is passing as they have Carson Wentz and such wideouts as Terry McLaurin and Curtis Samuel, while their starting running back Antonio Gibson has just 179 yards in five games. The Commanders average 252.6 passing yards per game, while the Bears have the worst pass offense that averages only 116.6 ypg. On the other hand, Chicago is focusing on the run offense that averages 157.4 ypg. Quarterback Fields and running backs Herbert and Montgomery are a dynamic trio and are more than capable of moving the chains on the ground. Washington is missing a couple of key players on offense, while Chicago has a stronger D, and that’s why I am backing the hosts.
Pick: Take the Bears at -1 (-110)
Without Jahan Dotson and Logan Thomas, who combined for 258 yards on 25 receptions this year, the Commanders’ offense will be less dangerous. That’s great news for the Bears’ secondary, which is allowing just 197.2 ppg. Although the Bears have the second-worst run defense, they will be lucky to face one of the worst run offenses in the NFL. I expect a lot of defensive stops from the hosts and plenty of punts. Under is 4-1 in the Commanders’ previous five vs. NFC opponents; Under is 21-8 in the Bears’ last 29 home games, while Under is 14-3 in Chicago’s previous 17 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Pick: Go Under 38.5 points (-120)