Looking to win big? The Aggies and Aztecs face off at 3:30 ET on FOX. The Aztecs are hosting the game at Viejas Arena in San Diego, CA. This Mountain West conference matchup has an over/under of 146.5 points, and San Diego State is favored to win by -5.5 at home vs. Utah State.

Does Utah State Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?

Utah State has been dominant this season, going 19-2 overall and 6-0 in Mountain West play. They have won 16 straight games, including a 82-61 victory over San Jose State in their most recent game.

On the road, the Aggies are 6-1 this season, and they have a scoring margin of +9.0 points per game. Over their last 10 road games, they are 7-3.

Utah State has an overall ATS record of 11-6 this season, including a 4-3 mark vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Aggies are just 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games.

Utah State’s over/under record for the season currently sits at 10-7 and today’s line of 146.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games (144.3). So far, 11 of their games have finished with less points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 154 points compared to their season average of 148.5 points per game.

The Utah State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 82 points vs. San Jose State. Overall their field goal percentage was 60% while connecting on 6 threes. The top scorer for the Aggies was Great Osobor with 31 points, while Ian Martinez also added 16 to the scoreboard.

So far, the Aggies’ defense is ranked 94th in the country at 68.4 points per contest. In their previous game vs. San Jose State, the Spartans finished with a field goal percentage of 60% and a total of 61 points vs. Utah State.

  • Max Agbonkpolo (Out) Foot

Can the Aztecs Offense Score Enough at Home?

San Diego State enters this game with a 16-5 overall record, including a perfect 10-0 mark at home. They are coming off a 79-71 loss to Colorado State and have gone 5-3 in Mountain West play.

So far this season, the Aztecs have been favored in 14 of their 21 games, going 12-2 in those contests. On the year, they have an average scoring margin of +13.1 points per game at home.

As the favorite this season, San Diego State has gone just 5-9 vs. the spread. However, their ATS mark at home this year is 5-5, and they are 2-1 ATS in their last 3 home games. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Aztecs have an ATS record of 4-6.

On the season, the over/under record for San Diego State games is 11-8, and the average scoring total in their games is 144.2 points. Today’s over/under line of 146.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (141). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 142 points.

In their recent matchup, the San Diego State offense ended with 71 points against Colorado State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 45% and made 10 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Jaedon LeDee, who is averaging 20.5 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Reese Waters also maintains a PPG average of 11.9 heading into game.

Currently, the Aztecs’ defense holds the 73rd rank in the nation, allowing 67.3 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.5 threes per game vs. Utah State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 27.0%.

At present, the Aztecs’ defense is nationally ranked 73rd, allowing 67.3 points per game. In today’s game vs. Utah State, the San Diego State defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, San Diego State made 16 free-throws vs. the Aztecs.

Aggies vs. Aztecs Pick

For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Aztecs to secure the win, with an expected final score of 76-68. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -5.5.

Pick: Take the Aztecs at -5.5

The Total

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 146.5, and our model predicts the Aggies and Aztecs to score a combined 144 points. We recommend betting on the under.

Pick: Go Under 146.5 points (-110)