Betting on today’s Volunteers and Commodores game? Catch the action at Memorial Gymnasium (TN) in Nashville, TN, as the Commodores hosts this showdown at 6:00 ET on SECN. Tennessee is favored by -13.5 in this Southeastern conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 141.5 points.

Do the Volunteers Have What it Takes to Win as Road Favorites?

Heading into tonight’s game against Vanderbilt, Tennessee is currently riding a three-game win streak and has an overall record of 14-4. The Volunteers have been dominant at home this season, going undefeated in 11 games with an average scoring margin of +21.4 points per game. However, their road record sits at just 3-4, and over their last 10 road games, they have gone 3-7.

So far this season, Tennessee has been the favorite in 15 of their 18 games, going 14-1 in those contests. Their average scoring margin on the road is +1.0 compared to +21.4 at home. In their most recent game, the Volunteers defeated Alabama by a score of 91-71.

Against the spread, Tennessee has an 8-9-1 record this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 2-5 and over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Vols are 4-5-1. In their last three road games, Tennessee is 0-3 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record in Tennessee games is 11-7. So far, the average point total in their games is 146. Today’s over/under line of 141.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (142.6). In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 159 points.

Tennessee is fresh off a strong offensive showing, putting up 91 points versus Alabama. This output is higher than their season-average of 79.7 points per game. Dalton Knecht led the team in scoring, putting up 25 points. Additionally, Jonas Aidoo contributed 19 points for the Volunteers.

Tennessee’s defense has been playing well, ranking 47th nationally, with 66.3 points allowed per game. Tennessee’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Alabama offense to knock down 48% of their shots on their way to putting up 71 points.

Can Vanderbilt Grab a Win at Home?

After losing their fifth straight game, Vanderbilt’s record fell to 5-13. They have yet to win a game in Southeastern Conference play, going 0-5. The Commodores have been particularly bad on the road, going 0-5 with an average scoring margin of -10.2 points per game.

As the underdog, Vanderbilt has gone 0-10 this season. In their last game, the Commodores lost to Mississippi State by a score of 68-55. At home, Vanderbilt has gone 5-8, and they enter this game on a two-game losing streak at home.

As the underdog, Vanderbilt has gone 4-5-1 against the spread this season and they are 7-10-1 overall. At home, the Commodores have an ATS mark of 5-8 and they are 2-1 ATS in their last three home games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Vanderbilt has an ATS record of 4-5-1.

So far this season, the over/under record for Vanderbilt games is 5-13. Today’s over/under line of 141.5 is very close to the average over/under line of 142.4 in their games this year. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 130 points, which is lower than today’s over/under line.

The Vanderbilt offense is coming off a game where they scored 55 points against Mississippi State. They posted a field goal percentage of 37.7% and connected on 5 threes. One area that the Vanderbilt offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 134th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 39%.

The Commodores’ defense is presently ranked 157th nationally, allowing an average of 71.9 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 44.1% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 37.4% this season.

Coming into today’s game, the Vanderbilt defense is giving up an average of 71.9 points per contest. Vanderbilt’s three-point defense is currently 170th in the country at 7.9 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 44.1% of their shots vs. Vanderbilt.

  • Colin Smith (Out) Achilles
  • Jaqualon Roberts (Questionable) Hip

Volunteers vs. Commodores Pick

The Commodores come in as the underdog at +13.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

Pick: Take the Commodores at +13.5

The Total

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 141.5, and our model predicts the Volunteers and Commodores to score a combined 144 points. We recommend betting on the over.

Pick: Go Over 141.5 points (-111)