Looking to win big? The Buffaloes and Broncos face off at 9:10 ET on truT. The Broncos are hosting the game at UD Arena in Dayton, OH. Colorado comes into this non-conference matchup as the -2.5 point favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 140.5 points at BetUs.

Does Colorado Have What it Takes on the Road?

Colorado is favored by 2.5 points in this game, and they have been favored in 29 of their 34 games this season. The Buffaloes have a record of 23-6 when favored, compared to 2-4 when they are the underdog.

On the road, Colorado has gone 7-8 this season, and their average scoring margin is -1.7 points per game. They have won five straight games on the road, and over their last 10 road games, they have gone 5-5.

When looking at Colorado’s overall ATS record this season, they are sitting at .500 with a mark of 17-17-1. However, their ATS record on the road is 6-9, and they have gone 11-8-1 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 3 road games, the Buffaloes have a perfect 3-0 ATS record, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games away from home.

This season, the over/under record for Colorado games is 20-15. On average, their games have finished with 149.3 points compared to an average over/under line of 148.8, resulting in a margin of +0.5. Today’s over/under line of 140.5 is lower than the average scoring total in their last three games (127), their last five games (133), and their last 10 games (144). So far, 27 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line.

In contrast to their season average of 79.3 points per game, the Colorado had a below average performance. They scored 68 points against Oregon and had a field goal percentage of 41.7%. Offensively, the Buffaloes have a season long field goal percentage of 49%, which is 34th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 37th in percentage and 248th in three-pointers made.

In terms of defense, Colorado is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 70.6 points per game. Colorado’s three-point defense is currently 107th in the country at 6.7 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 43.6% of their shots vs. Colorado.

  • Julian Hammond (Out) Knee
  • RJ Smith (Out) Leg

Will the Broncos Pull Through as the Home Underdog?

Boise State enters this game as a 2.5-point underdog, and they have gone 6-6 this season as the underdog. The Broncos have been much better at home than on the road, going 13-5 compared to 8-5.

Over their last 10 games at home, Boise State has gone 6-4, and they are coming off a 76-66 loss to New Mexico. So far this season, the Broncos have an average scoring margin of +11.5 points per game at home.

Boise State’s ATS record this season is 17-14, which includes a 10-8 mark at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Broncos are 6-4 vs. the spread.

Boise State’s over/under record for the season sits at 17-14, and today’s line of 140.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (139.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 146 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 5-5.

Compared to their season average of 75.8 points per game, Boise State struggled in their previous game. Against New Mexico, the Broncos scored 66 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 29.4%. Tyson Degenhart is leading the team in scoring at 17 points per contest. Chibuzo Agbo has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 13.6 going into the game.

So far this season, the Boise State defense has been performing well, ranking 63rd in the country at 67.5 points allowed per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.9 threes per game vs. Colorado. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 29.5%.

Currently, the Broncos’ defense holds the 63rd rank in the nation, allowing 67.5 points per game. In their previous game vs. New Mexico, the Lobos finished with a field goal percentage of 29% and a total of 76 points vs. Boise State.

Buffaloes vs. Broncos Pick

The Broncos come in as the underdog at +2.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

Pick: Take the Broncos at +2.5

The Total

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 140.5, and our model projects the Buffaloes and Broncos to reach a combined total of 145 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

Pick: Go Over 140.5 points (-110)