At 7:00 ET, the Pacers (-309) will host the Cavaliers (+245) in a Central Division matchup. Indiana is favored by 7.5 points, and the over/under is at 223.5 at Jazz Sports.

The Pacers (38-30) are 6th in the Eastern Conference, while Cleveland (42-25) is 3rd. The game will be played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis and can be seen on BSIN.

Will the Cavaliers Make it Happen in Indianapolis?

In their last game, the Cavaliers lost to the Rockets by a score of 117-103. The O/U line for that game was 214.5, and they were favored by 4.5 points. This puts their ATS record at 33-32 for the season.

For the year, the Cavaliers are 31-35-1 on the O/U, and their games have averaged a combined 223.1 points. In non-conference games, their O/U record is 15-8.

This season, the Cavaliers are 10-12 as underdogs and 12-9 ATS as underdogs. As the underdog, they have an average scoring differential of -1.6 points per game.

Going into today’s game, Cleveland is 3rd in the Eastern Conference with a record of 42-25. In the Central Division, they are in 2nd place.

On the road, the Cavaliers have an average scoring differential of +4.5 points per game. Their ATS record on the road is 16-14 compared to 17-18 at home.

On average, the Cavaliers’ games have had an O/U line of 224.3 points this season. Today’s line is set at 223.5 points.

This season, the Cavaliers have been a below-average offensive team, ranking 18th in the NBA with 113.6 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 112.6 points per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, Cleveland is 6th in the league in made threes per game at 13.7. Overall, they are 16th in three-point shooting percentage at 36%.

In terms of pace, the Cavaliers are 20th in the NBA at 97.5 possessions per game. They have also been an above-average team in terms of two-point shooting, ranking 10th in the league at 56%.

On defense, the Cavaliers come into the game ranked 5th in the league in points allowed at 109.6 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 109.7 points per contest (14th). The Cavaliers defense is coming off a game in which they held the Rockets offense to just 45.1% shooting. Overall, they gave up 117 points to Houston.

  • Donovan Mitchell (Out) Nose
  • Ty Jerome (Out) Ankle
  • Dean Wade (Doubtful) Knee
  • Max Strus (Out) Knee
  • Evan Mobley (Out) Ankle

Does Indiana Stand a Chance at Home?

Indiana is 38-30 this season and is currently 6th in the Eastern Conference. In games against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 27-16 compared to 11-14 against the West.

This season, the Pacers have gone 19-14 as the favorite and are favored by 7.5 points today. As the favorite, they have a scoring margin of +6.2 points per game. Their O/U record as the favorite is 15-18.

Indiana’s ATS record for the season is 36-30, and they have covered the spread in their last three home games. At home, they are 18-16 straight-up and 18-16 against the spread.

In their last game, the Pacers defeated the Nets by a score of 121-100. The O/U line for that game was 228.5, and Indiana was favored by 8.5 points.

This season, the average combined scoring total in Pacers games is 244.2, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 223.5. Indiana has a season-long O/U record of 35-33.

When it comes to scoring, the Pacers are the top team in the league at 123.1 points per game. At home, they are averaging 125.8 points per game. In terms of pace, Indiana is 2nd in the NBA at 101.6 possessions per game.

One reason for the Pacers’ success on offense has been their ability to get to the rim. They are 1st in the league in two-point field goal percentage at 58%. Overall, Indiana is shooting 50% from the field, which is also tops in the NBA.

So far, the Pacers have outscored the NBA scoring average in 72.1% of their games. In terms of assists, Indiana leads the league at 30.5 per game.

Coming into the game, the Pacers will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 121.1 points per game (29th). Inside the arc, the Pacers defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 56.5% and 37.3% from three-point territory.

  • Doug McDermott (Out) Calf
  • Bennedict Mathurin (Out) Shoulder

Cavaliers vs. Pacers Pick

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +7.5, the Cavaliers is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

Pick: Take the Cavaliers at +7.5

The Total

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 223.5 and our model has the Cavaliers and Pacers finishing with a combined 230 points. Our pick is to take the over.

Pick: Go Over 223.5 points (-110)