Texas Longhorns vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Odds, Pick, Prediction 2/27/24

The Longhorns and Red Raiders are set to face off at 9:00 ET on ESPN. The Red Raiders will host the game at United Supermarkets Arena in Lubbock, TX. The odds for this Big 12 conference game currently have Texas Tech as the -4.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 145 points at BetUs.

Will the Longhorns Come Through as Road Underdogs?

After a 86-67 loss to Kansas, the Longhorns enter the game with a 17-10 record, including a 6-8 mark in Big 12 play. On the road, Texas is 4-5 this season, and they have gone 5-5 over their last 10 road games.

As an underdog this year, the Longhorns are 3-6, and their average scoring margin on the road sits at -5.3 points per game. For the season, Texas has been the underdog in nine of their 27 games.

As the underdog, Texas has gone 4-5 vs. the spread this season and they are 9-18 overall. On the road, the Longhorns are 3-6 vs. the spread and 4-6 in their last 10 games. Their ATS mark in their last three road games is 1-2.

Today’s over/under line of 145 for the Texas Longhorns is right in line with their season average of 144.5. So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 145. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 137 points. On the season, the over/under record for Texas is 15-12.

In their recent matchup, the Texas offense ended with 67 points against Kansas. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 41.9% and made 9 threes. For the season, the Texas offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 47%. So far, they have hit 52% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 7.5 made three’s per contest.

Currently, the Longhorns’ defense holds the 93rd rank in the nation, allowing 68.6 points per game. So far, the Texas defense is giving up an average of 8.7 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.5 times per game (565th).

Do the Red Raiders Have a Shot at a Home Win?

With a home record of 14-1, the Red Raiders are 16-1 when favored this season. Over their last 10 home games, they have gone 9-1. In their last game, Texas Tech lost to UCF by a score of 75-61.

On the season, Texas Tech has an average scoring margin of +14.6 points per game at home. Their record is 19-8, and in Big 12 play, they are 8-6 compared to 11-2 in non-conference games.

As the favorite this season, Texas Tech has gone 8-9 vs. the spread. Their ATS mark at home this year is 7-8. Over their last three home games, the Red Raiders have gone 1-2 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Texas Tech games is 17-10. Today’s over/under line of 145 is higher than the average OU line in their games this year (139.2). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 151 points.

The Texas Tech offense is coming off a game where they scored 61 points against UCF. They posted a field goal percentage of 37% and connected on 8 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Pop Isaacs, who holds an average of 16 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Joe Toussaint is averaging 12.1 points per game this season.

At present, the Red Raiders’ defense is nationally ranked 101st, allowing 69.0 points per game. In their previous game vs. UCF, the Knights finished with a field goal percentage of 46% and a total of 75 points vs. Texas Tech.

Devan Cambridge (Out) Knee
Chance McMillian (Questionable) Hip

Longhorns vs. Red Raiders Pick

The Red Raiders is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 75-68. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Red Raiders at -4.5.

Pick: Take the Red Raiders at -4.5

The Total

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 145 and our model has the Longhorns and Red Raiders finishing with a combined 143 points. Our pick is to take the under.

Pick: Go Under 145 points (-107)