The Bucks head into today’s matchup as 9.5-point favorites against a Spurs team that also likes to play at a fast pace. The game is set to tip off at 7:30 ET at San Antonio’s Frost Bank Center. If you’re interested in placing a wager, you can bet this game at BookMaker.
Can Milwaukee Pull Off A Win at Frost Bank Center?
As the Bucks get ready to take on the Spurs, they are favored by 9.5-points on the road. Before we take a look at their overall stats, their over/under record coming into the game is 22-12, and the over has hit in three of their games with higher over/under lines than today’s line of 249. The average over/under line in their games this season is 238.5.
Before their two straight losses, Milwaukee is 2nd in the Eastern Conference on a record of 24-10. Out of their 34 games, the Bucks have been the favorite 33 times and have a straight-up record of 24-9. Their average scoring margin as the favorite is +5.3 points per game, and they have gone 15-19 ATS when favored. Each of their last two games, they have failed to cover the spread as the favorite.
On the road, Milwaukee has put together an 8-7 record compared to 16-3 at home. Their two-game losing streak has dropped their ATS record to 15-19, but they have just three road games this season.
When playing teams outside of the Eastern Conference, the Bucks have gone 4-0 for the season. Against other teams in the Central Division, Milwaukee is 6-5.
In their most recent game, Milwaukee scored 130 points against the Pacers. This is above their average of 124.8 points per game this season. Leading the way for the Bucks was Giannis Antetokounmpo with 26 points, while Damian Lillard added 23 points.
On defense, the Bucks are ranked 24th in the NBA this season. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA scoring average in 67.6% of their games. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Bucks are forcing 13 per game, which is 17th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 12th in blocked shots at 5.6 per game.
- Jae Crowder (Out) Groin
- AJ Green (Out) Nasal Fracture
Is a Home Win Possible for San Antonio?
With a record of 5-28, the Spurs will look to pick up a win as 9.5-point underdogs vs. the Bucks. When playing teams outside of the Western Conference, San Antonio has gone 0-9 this season.
When looking at the standings, the Spurs are 15th in the West and 5th in the Southwest Division. San Antonio is currently on a three-game losing streak and has just two wins at home this season.
At home, the Spurs have really struggled to cover recently, as they are just 6-10 ATS for the season. For the year, they have been the underdog in 32 of their 33 games and have gone 12-20 against the spread in those games.
The over/under record in San Antonio’s games this season is 21-12, but they have had each of their last two games finish below the OU lines. So far, all of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s line of 249 points.
Looking at the Spurs most recent game, they scored 98 points versus the Grizzlies. In that game, they shot 42.4% from the field and connected on 10 three-pointers. On the season, the Spurs rank 27th in the league with a 45% field goal percentage. When it comes to three-point shooting, the Spurs are 28th in percentage and 14th in made threes.
At present, the Spurs’ defense is ranked 27th, allowing 122.8 points per game. The Spurs defense is coming off a game in which they held the Grizzlies offense to just 42.4% shooting. Overall, they gave up 106 points to Memphis.
- Zach Collins (Out) Ankle
- Charles Bassey (Out) Left Knee
- Malaki Branham (Doubtful) Ankle
Bucks vs. Spurs Pick
For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Bucks to secure the win, with an expected final score of 115-104. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -9.5.
Pick: Take the Bucks at -9.5
The Total
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 249, and our model predicts the Bucks and Spurs to score a combined 219 points. We recommend betting on the under.
Pick: Go Under 249 points (-108)
