Tip-off for this non-conference matchup between the Bucks and Grizzlies is set for 8:30 ET. The Bucks are favored by 11.5 and the over/under line is 223.5 at Jazz Sports.

Memphis (19-36) is currently 13th in the Western Conference, while Milwaukee (35-20) is third in the East. The game will be played at FedExForum and can be seen on TNT.

Does Milwaukee Stand a Chance on the Road?

Milwaukee’s O/U record this season is 29-26, and the under has hit in their last three games. Today’s O/U line of 223.5 is lower than their season average of 238.9.

On the road, the Bucks have an average scoring differential of +0.4 points per game. Their ATS record on the road is 9-16, and they are 12-13 straight-up.

In the Eastern Conference, the Bucks are currently in 3rd place with a record of 35-20. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 25-13 and 9-7 against their division.

Against the spread, the Bucks are 21-34 for the season and have failed to cover in two straight road games. As the favorite, their ATS record is 20-29.

In their last game, the Bucks lost to the Heat by a score of 123-97. The O/U line for that game was 224, and Milwaukee was favored by 7.5 points going into the game.

The Bucks have been one of the most potent offenses in the NBA this season, ranking 2nd in scoring at 122.2 points per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 120.9 points per game.

When it comes to shooting, Milwaukee is one of the most efficient teams in the league. They are 5th in field goal percentage at 49% and have the 4th best true shooting percentage.

One of the keys to the Bucks’ offense has been their ability to get to the free-throw line. They are 2nd in free throw attempts at 25.7 per game and are making an average of 19.8 free throws per contest.

Coming into the game, the Bucks will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 118.9 points per game (23rd). In their previous game, the Bucks’ defense struggled against the Heat, giving up 123 points on a field goal percentage of 51%.

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (Probable) Knee
  • Khris Middleton (Out) Ankle
  • Damian Lillard (Probable) Ankle

Can Memphis Pull Out the Win as Home Underdogs?

Memphis is 26-29 ATS this season, including a 10-16 record at home. However, they have covered the spread in their last two home games and have an average scoring differential of -6.8 points per game at home.

As the underdog, the Grizzlies are 21-20 ATS this season and have covered the spread in two straight games. Today, they are 11.5-point underdogs and have gone 13-28 straight-up as the underdog.

In their last game, the Grizzlies defeated the Rockets by a score of 121-113. They were 2.5-point underdogs going into the game and have an O/U record of 24-30-1 for the season.

Memphis has an average over/under line of 223.2 points this season, which is just below today’s line of 223.5. So far, 27 of their games have had lower over/under lines than 223.5.

The Grizzlies are currently 13th in the Western Conference with a record of 19-36. In games against other Western Conference teams, they are 13-24 and 6-12 against the East.

This season, the Grizzlies are 30th in the NBA in scoring, averaging just 107 points per game. At home, they are averaging just 104.6 points per game.

When it comes to their field goal percentage, the Grizzlies are 30th in the league at 44%. They are also 29th in two-point shooting percentage at 51%.

One area where the Grizzlies have excelled is three-point shooting. They are 8th in the NBA in three-pointers made per game but are just 29th in three-point shooting percentage.

This season, the Grizzlies defense has been impressive, holding the 12th position in the league while permitting an average of 113.1 points per contest. Opponents are hitting 53.6% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 38.2% of their three-point attempts.

  • Marcus Smart (Out) Finger
  • Ja Morant (Out) Shoulder
  • Brandon Clarke (Out) Achilles
  • Desmond Bane (Out) Ankle
  • Jake LaRavia (Out) Ankle
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. (Questionable) Low Back

Bucks vs. Grizzlies Pick

As the underdogs with a spread of +11.5, we recommend going with the Grizzlies on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

Pick: Take the Grizzlies at +11.5

The Total

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 223.5 and given that our model is projecting 255 points between the teams, we like the over.

Pick: Go Over 223.5 points (-112)