At 5:00 ET, the Heat (19-12) take on the Jazz (13-19) in a non-conference matchup. The Heat come in as 1.5 point road favorites at Bovada.

Are the Heat Ready for a Win at Salt Lake City?

The Miami Heat will take on the Jazz as 1.5-point favorites. So far, the Heat are 19-12 this season and have a four-game winning streak.

When looking at the Eastern Conference standings, the Heat are in 4th place and lead the Southeast Division. Miami has been excellent on the road this season, putting together a record of 10-6.

So far, the Heat have been the favorite in 18 of their 31 games and have a record of 14-4 in these games. The team’s average scoring margin as the favorite is currently +3.3 points per game.

Miami’s ATS record is currently sitting at 15-15, and they have covered the spread in four straight games. When playing on the road, the Heat have two straight ATS wins and an average scoring differential of +3.4 points per game.

This season, the Heat have an average over/under line of 221.7 points, and their over/under record for the season is 16-15. In their previous games with higher over/under lines than 227, the Heat have gone 4-3.

Coming into the game, the Heat offense is averaging 114 points per game, while shooting 48.4% from the field. They have made 10 three-pointers per game. Jimmy Butler is the team’s leading scorer, averaging 21.5 points, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 21.8 points.

Coming into the game, the Heat defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 22.6% of their games. Currently, they are 7th in the NBA at 111.5 points per game allowed. In the terms of takeaways, Heat are causing 12.4 turnovers per game, ranking 7th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 30th in rejections, averaging 3.1 blocked shots each game.

  • Kyle Lowry (Questionable) Soreness
  • Jimmy Butler (Questionable) Calf
  • Josh Richardson (Questionable) Back
  • Duncan Robinson (Probable) Ankle
  • Caleb Martin (Doubtful) Ankle
  • Dru Smith (Out) Knee
  • Jaime Jaquez Jr. (Questionable) Illness

Are Utah Ready for a Home Win?

With a record of 13-19, the Jazz will look to pick up a win over the Heat as 1.5-point underdogs at home. If they are able to pull off the upset, they will also move above .500 at home for the season, as they are currently 8-5.

When playing at home, Utah has put together back-to-back wins and have also covered the spread in two straight games at home. Their average scoring differential at home for the season is +2.8 points per contest.

Against the spread, the Jazz have been the underdog in 27 of their 32 games and have gone 14-13 against the spread in those games. Coming into today’s game, they have three straight ATS wins as the underdog.

In the Western Conference standings, the Jazz are currently in 12th place, and they sit 4th in the Northwest. Against other teams in the West, Utah is 9-15 compared to 4-4 in non-conference games.

In their last game vs. the Pelicans, the Jazz’s offense only scored 105 points. Overall, they shot 12/39 from three-point range and had a field goal percentage of 42.4%. For the season, the Jazz have a field goal percentage of 45%, which ranks 26th in the league. In terms of three-pointers, they are 23rd in percentage and 9th in three-pointers made.

At this time, the Jazz’s defense is positioned 24th in the NBA, permitting 119.1 points per game. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Jazz are forcing 15.9 per game, which is 30th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 9th in blocked shots at 5.9 per game.


Heat vs. Jazz Pick

The Heat is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 115-107. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Heat at -1.5.

Pick: Take the Heat at -1.5

The Total

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 227, and our model projects the Heat and Jazz to reach a combined total of 222 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

Pick: Go Under 227 points (-108)