Today at 7:30 ET, the Pistons will be taking on the Celtics at TD Garden. This game features two teams that have contrasting styles, as the Pistons prefer to play at a fast pace, while the Celtics are one of the slower teams in the league. The Celtics come into the matchup as 16.5-point favorites at BookMaker.
Will the Pistons Make it Happen on the Road?
The Pistons are in a tough spot this season, as they are just 2-28 overall and have yet to win a game outside of their division. In their last game, Detroit fell to the Nets by a score of 118-112.
Coming into today’s game vs. Boston, Detroit is 16.5-point underdogs and have an average scoring differential on the road of -13.5 points per contest. Detroit’s road record is 1-14 this season.
When looking at the over/under line for today’s game, the average over/under line in Detroit’s games this year is 227.4, and their games have finished with an average of 230.1 points. This season, the Pistons are 18-12 vs. the over/under line.
Against the spread, Detroit’s road record is 6-9, and their overall ATS record for the season is 10-19. Detroit has lost 24 straight games when they are the underdog.
In the Pistons’ most recent game, they scored 112 points, which is in line with their season average of 109.3 points per game. Offensively, the Pistons have struggled with their efficiency, as they are shooting 46% from the field. When it comes to free throws, the Pistons are 16th in made free throws and have a free throw shooting percentage of 78%.
Coming into today’s game, the Pistons’ defense is giving up an average of 120.8 points per contest. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Pistons are forcing 15.8 per game, which is 29th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 15th in blocked shots at 5.2 per game.
- Monte Morris (Out) Quadriceps
- Killian Hayes (Probable) Illness
- Isaiah Stewart (Out) Toe
- Ausar Thompson (Probable) Illness
Will the Celtics Live Up to Expectations at Home?
The Celtics have been the top team in the Eastern Conference so far this season and are also the favorites to take down the Pistons today. Boston comes into the game with an overall record of 23-6 and have won three straight games.
At home, the Celtics have yet to lose a game, going 14-0 so far. Their average scoring margin at home is +15.6 points per contest. In their last home game, Boston took down the Lakers by a score of 126-115 and also covered the spread as 5-point favorites.
When playing teams outside of the Eastern Conference, the Celtics are 4-2 this season and have an ATS record of 9-4 in these games.
For the season, Boston’s average over/under line is 227.7, and they have an over/under record of 16-13. In their last game, the over/under line was 235 points, and they combined with the Lakers to score 241 in a 126-115 win.
Against the spread, the Celtics have covered three straight games and have an overall ATS record of 14-13. As the favorite, Boston is 12-13 ATS this season.
In their last game vs. the Lakers, the Celtics put up 126 points and shot 50.5% from the field. Jayson Tatum leads the team with 26.9 PPG, while Jaylen Brown is averaging 22.6 PPG.
Coming into today’s game, the Celtics’ defense is giving up an average of 109.9 points per contest. On two point field goal attempts, the Celtics’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 50.2% and allowing 37.0% from beyond the arc.
- Jaylen Brown (Questionable) Back
- Jayson Tatum (Questionable) Ankle
- Svi Mykhailiuk (Probable) Heel
- Oshae Brissett (Questionable) Illness
- Lamar Stevens (Probable) Illness
Pistons vs. Celtics Pick
When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Celtics vs. Celtics game, our recommendation is to take the Pistons at +16.5. Despite our model showing the Celtics winning 112-108, we like Pistons as our point-spread pick.
Pick: Take the Pistons at +16.5
The Total
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 231.5 and given that our model is projecting 220 points between the teams, we like the under.
Pick: Go Under 231.5 points (-112)
