Washington heads to Philadelphia on Wednesday, March 11 (7:30 p.m. ET) with the Capitals holding a slim edge in the Metropolitan race: Washington is 32-26-7 (71 points) and Philadelphia is 29-23-11 (69 points), with the Flyers holding two games in hand.
At the current price, Washington is a modest road favorite (-122) while Philadelphia sits at +102. The total is 5.5 with plus money attached to the under.
This matchup also sets up as a pace and finishing clash: Washington generates more volume (29.0 shots per game), while Philadelphia has struggled to create looks (25.3 shots per game) and is tied near the bottom of the league on the power play (16.0%).
Odds & Game Info
Odds as of 10:35 AM ET on March 11, 2026 (from BetOnline).
| Game Info | Spread (Puck Line) | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| WSH @ PHI 7:30 PM ET Xfinity Mobile Arena | PHI +1.5 (-250) WSH -1.5 (+198) | PHI +102 WSH -122 | Over 5.5 (-140) Under 5.5 (+114) |
Starting goalies were not officially confirmed as of the odds timestamp. Season goaltending snapshot: Logan Thompson (WSH) 22-18-4, 2.42 GAA, .912 SV%; Dan Vladar (PHI) 20-11-6, 2.52 GAA, .903 SV%.
Team Records
Here’s where each team stands entering tonight.
| Team | Record | Last 10 | ATS (Puck Line) | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Capitals | 32-26-7 Road: 12-15-4 | 6-4-0 | 33-32-0 | 30-33-2 |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 29-23-11 Home: 14-11-7 | 5-3-2 | 37-26-0 | 33-29-1 |
Team Stats
Core scoring and special teams profile.
| Team | Goals per game | Goals allowed per game | Power play % | Penalty kill % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | 3.17 | 2.92 | 16.4% | 78.6% |
| Philadelphia | 2.79 | 3.13 | 16.0% | 78.4% |
Shot volume (per game): Washington 29.0 for and 28.1 against; Philadelphia 25.3 for and 25.7 against.
Recaps
Washington Capitals
Washington is coming off a 7-3 home win over Calgary on March 9, snapping a stretch where it hadn’t scored more than four goals in a game since late January. Connor McMichael scored twice, and the Caps did their damage late after a tied middle period.
Washington has been better recently in the standings than the underlying special teams would suggest: the power play is at 16.4% and the penalty kill at 78.6%, so their cleanest path to control games is still at 5v5 with a shot-volume edge and lower event defense (28.1 shots allowed per game).
Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia dropped a 6-2 home game to the Rangers on March 9, with the penalty kill getting burned (New York scored three power-play goals). Matvei Michkov and Sean Couturier scored in the loss.
Travis Konecny recently returned from an upper-body injury and leads the Flyers with 57 points (23 goals, 34 assists). The bigger issue has been chance creation: Philadelphia is at 25.3 shots per game (near the bottom of the league), leaving them with a thin margin when they are not getting standout goaltending.
Matchup Keys
- Flyers shot creation vs Caps defensive base: Philadelphia averages 25.3 shots per game, while Washington allows 28.1. If the Flyers can’t get to the mid-to-high 20s in attempts and shots, the scoring ceiling stays limited.
- Power play problem game: Both teams sit at or below 16.4% on the power play (WSH 16.4%, PHI 16.0%). That pushes this matchup toward 5v5 finishing and goaltending swings, not special-teams separation.
- Unders have been live for both teams lately: Washington is 3-7 to the over in its last 10, and Philadelphia is 2-8 to the over in its last 10, aligning with a 5.5 total that still requires efficiency to clear.
- Rest and schedule spot: Washington is opening a road back-to-back (Philadelphia then Buffalo), while the Flyers are on a homestand and had an off day Tuesday.
Betting Trends
- Washington is 6-4 in its last 10 games.
- Philadelphia is 5-3-2 in its last 10 games.
- Washington is 3-7 to the over in its last 10 games (7 unders).
- Philadelphia is 2-8 to the over in its last 10 games (8 unders).
- Season O/U: Washington 30-33-2 (more unders than overs).
- Season O/U: Philadelphia 33-29-1.
- Season ATS (puck line): Washington 33-32-0.
- Season ATS (puck line): Philadelphia 37-26-0.
- The first two meetings this season both stayed under the posted total (Feb. 3 and Feb. 25).
Best Bet
Under 5.5 (+114).
Both teams are trending strongly toward lower-scoring outcomes recently (Washington 7 unders in the last 10; Philadelphia 8 unders in the last 10), and the special teams profile does not scream “easy goals” with each power play at 16% range. Philadelphia’s low shot volume (25.3 per game) also makes it harder for the Flyers to force the pace unless they’re chasing early. At plus money, the under is the most efficient way to bet the current shape of both teams.
Predicted Score
Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final score of Washington 3, Philadelphia 2.
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