Utah comes in at 32-25-4 and is fighting to hold position in the Western Conference playoff mix, while Philadelphia (28-21-11) is trying to keep pace in a crowded Eastern race.
The market has Utah favored on the road at -128, with Philadelphia at +106. The total is 5.5 (Over -124, Under +102), and the puck line is Flyers +1.5 (-245) and Mammoth -1.5 (+190).
Odds as of 7:48 AM ET on March 5, 2026.
Odds & Game Info
| Game Info | Details |
|---|---|
| Time (ET) | 7:10 PM |
| Arena | Xfinity Mobile Arena (Philadelphia) |
| Projected goalies | Utah: Karel Vejmelka | Philadelphia: Dan Vladar (not confirmed) |
This table shows the current betting lines.
| Spread (Puck Line) | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| PHI +1.5 (-245) | UTA -1.5 (+190) | PHI +106 | UTA -128 | Over 5.5 (-124) | Under 5.5 (+102) |
Recent Form
Utah Mammoth
Utah’s profile is defense-forward: 2.77 goals allowed per game with just 25.98 shots against per game. They are not living on special teams either, sitting at 16.9% on the power play and 77.7% on the penalty kill.
At 5v5, Utah’s results are supported by the chance quality: 2.88 GF/60 and 2.76 xGF/60 on offense, plus 2.35 GA/60 and 2.47 xGA/60 defensively. They beat Washington 3-2 on March 3 and now stay on the East Coast for this stop, so the travel is light.
Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia has played to a negative goal differential (188 allowed, 177 scored) and a higher goals-against rate (3.13 per game) than Utah. Shot volume is also a concern: 25.43 shots for per game, which leaves a thinner margin for error when they fall behind early.
The Flyers’ 5v5 engine is middling: 2.45 GF/60 and 2.42 xGF/60. Defensively they have a 2.53 GA/60 and 2.32 xGA/60 at 5v5, which suggests they can keep games stable when structure is right, but injuries can stress lineup depth. Their last game was March 2 at Toronto (3-2 shootout win), giving them two full days between games.
Matchup Keys
- Utah’s 5v5 edge: Mammoth 2.88 GF/60 at 5v5 vs Flyers 2.45, and Utah’s 2.35 GA/60 is better than Philadelphia’s 2.53.
- Shot volume advantage Utah: Mammoth 27.77 SF/G vs Flyers 25.43 SF/G, and Utah also keeps opponents near 26 shots against per game.
- Special teams are a wash, and neither is strong: both power plays sit in the mid-teens (Utah 16.9%, Flyers 16.2%), so this game is likely decided at even strength.
- Flyers scoring depth matters if Konecny sits: removing Philadelphia’s top scorer lowers their already modest 2.95 goals per game baseline.
- Rest and travel are reasonable for both: Flyers have been home since March 2 (Toronto road game), Utah comes in after March 3 in Washington with a short trip to Philadelphia.
Betting Trends
- Utah is 14-15-2 on the road.
- Philadelphia is 14-9-7 at home.
- Utah is 5-5-0 in its last 10 games.
- Philadelphia is 4-4-2 in its last 10 games.
- Utah is 30-8-0 when scoring 3 or more goals.
- The teams’ first meeting went to Utah 5-4 in overtime (January 21, 2026).
- Utah has a +24 goal differential; Philadelphia is at -11.
- Both penalty kills sit around league average (Utah 77.7%, Philadelphia 79.7%), limiting the case for an Over that depends on PP production.
Best Bet
Utah Mammoth moneyline (-128).
Utah is the cleaner 5v5 team by both results and expected-goals rates, and they bring a shot-volume edge that tends to translate better on the road than power-play dependent offense. Philadelphia’s scoring baseline is already lower, and any limitation to Travis Konecny makes it harder for the Flyers to generate enough to punish Utah’s defensive profile. At this price, Utah is the side with the more reliable path to winning the even-strength minutes.
Predicted Score
Utah 3, Philadelphia 2
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