Utah closes out its road swing in Dallas on Monday night, and the odds reflect a tough spot: Stars moneyline -156, Mammoth +130, with Dallas laying -1.5 on the puck line at plus money.
In the Central Division race, Dallas (42-14-10, 94 points) sits second, while Utah (34-27-6, 74 points) is fourth. Form is trending in opposite directions: the Stars are scorching over the last two-plus weeks, while the Mammoth enter on a losing streak.
Goaltending looks like it could be a deciding factor if the projected starters hold, but Utah’s penalty kill versus Dallas’ power play is the matchup that can swing the total and the side quickly.
Odds & Game Info
Here’s a quick snapshot of the current market at BetUs.
| Game Info | Spread (Puck Line) | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Mammoth @ Dallas Stars 8:00 PM ET (7:00 PM CT) American Airlines Center (Dallas, TX) | DAL -1.5 (+158) UTA +1.5 (-196) | DAL -156 UTA +130 | Over 5.5 (-124) Under 5.5 (+102) |
Odds as of 9:19 AM ET on March 16, 2026.
Projected starting goalies
- Utah: Karel Vejmelka (unconfirmed)
- Dallas: Jake Oettinger (unconfirmed)
Injuries (as listed on the game injury report)
- Dallas: Mikko Rantanen (IR, est. return Mar 29); Roope Hintz (OUT, est. return Apr 7); Radek Faksa (IR, est. return Apr 13); Tyler Seguin (IR-LT, est. return Sep 15)
- Utah: No players were listed in the injury section at publish time.
Team Records
These records and recent form help frame the current handicap.
| Team | Record | Last 10 | ATS (Puck Line) | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Mammoth | 34-27-6 (Away: 16-16-3) | 4-4-2-0 | 29-33 | 33-34 |
| Dallas Stars | 42-14-10 (Home: 22-7-4) | 9-0-0-1 | 27-39 | 28-29 |
Team Stats
These baseline rates are the fastest way to compare scoring environment and special teams.
| Team | Goals per game | Goals allowed per game | Power play % | Penalty kill % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Mammoth | 3.10 | 2.81 | 16.8% | 77.9% |
| Dallas Stars | 3.45 | 2.64 | 30.0% | 81.1% |
Recaps
Utah Mammoth
Utah’s last five games: 1-2-2, with four straight losses entering this one (including two OT losses). The offense has been volatile in that stretch, and the defense has had a major low point in the 5-0 loss at Minnesota.
Season profile is still competitive: 3.10 goals scored per game and 2.81 allowed, with a positive shot environment (27.7 shots for per game, 25.9 against). The issue in this specific matchup is special teams: a 16.8% power play runs into a Dallas penalty kill that has held at 81.1%, and Utah’s 77.9% penalty kill faces one of the league’s most efficient power plays.
Dallas Stars
Dallas is 4-0-1 in its last five, with wins over Detroit (3-2 OT), Edmonton (7-2), Vegas (2-1), and Chicago (4-3 OT), plus a shootout loss to Colorado (5-4 SO). The Stars are also elite over the last 10 overall (9-0-0-1).
The efficiency edge is real: 3.45 goals scored per game, just 2.64 allowed, and a 30.0% power play that can tilt any one-game sample. Even with key injuries listed up front, Dallas has continued to produce at the top of the standings, and the home split (22-7-4) reinforces the baseline advantage in this building.
Matchup Keys
- Special teams mismatch: Dallas power play (30.0%) vs Utah penalty kill (77.9%) is the clearest edge on the card.
- Shot profile contrast: Utah generates more shots (27.7 SF/G) and allows fewer (25.9 SA/G) than Dallas (25.8 SF/G, 26.4 SA/G), which keeps Utah live on +1.5 despite the standings gap.
- 5v5 quality indicators: Both teams have strong expected-goal share at five-on-five (Utah xGF% 52.41%, Dallas xGF% 52.11%), but Utah also carries the better shot-attempt share (Utah 52.77% vs Dallas 48.35%), suggesting Dallas has leaned more on finishing and special teams.
- Recent form: Dallas last 10 (9-0-0-1) vs Utah last 10 (4-4-2-0) is a sizable momentum gap heading into a short number.
- Rest and travel: Both teams are on one day of rest, but Utah is traveling into Dallas while the Stars stay home.
Betting Trends
- Dallas is 9-0-0-1 in its last 10 games.
- Utah is 4-4-2-0 in its last 10 games.
- Dallas is 22-7-4 at home; Utah is 16-16-3 on the road.
- Utah has dropped four straight entering this matchup (per its most recent five-game log).
- Dallas has allowed 2.64 goals per game this season; Utah has allowed 2.81.
- Dallas’ power play is converting at 30.0% this season.
- Utah’s power play is at 16.8% this season.
- Utah is 29-33 against the puck line this season.
- Dallas has an over/under record of 28-29 this season.
Best Bet
Dallas Stars moneyline (-156). Dallas has the best combination of form (9-0-0-1 last 10), home performance (22-7-4), and special-teams edge (30.0% power play) on the slate. Utah’s five-on-five numbers keep the Mammoth competitive, but their current losing streak plus the penalty kill matchup is a bad fit against a Stars team that can win games with one or two power-play swings. If you prefer a plus-price angle, Dallas -1.5 (+158) is viable, but the cleaner entry is the moneyline given Utah’s shot-driving profile.
Predicted Score
Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final score of Dallas 3, Utah 2
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