San Jose Sharks at Boston Bruins is set for Thursday, March 12, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, and the market has Boston priced as a clear home favorite at -155, with San Jose coming back at +139.
Boston enters with a stronger overall profile and a major home-ice edge (25-8-1 at TD Garden). San Jose has been closer to break-even overall, but has struggled more on the road (13-16-1).
In the standings, Boston is sitting on 78 points in the Atlantic, while San Jose has 66 points in the Pacific.
Odds & Game Info
| Spread (Puck Line) | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bruins -1.5 +158 Sharks +1.5 -177 | Bruins -155 Sharks +139 | Ov 6.5 -114 |
Game info: 7:00 PM ET at TD Garden (Boston, MA). Odds provided via BetAnything.
Starting goalies: not confirmed as of the odds timestamp.
Team Records
Here is where both teams stand entering March 12.
| Team | Record | Last 10 | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Sharks | 30-26-6 | 3-5-2 | 39-23-0 | 30-30-2 |
| Boston Bruins | 36-22-6 | 5-2-3 | 41-23-0 | 35-28-1 |
Team Stats
These are the key full-season scoring and special teams baselines.
| Team | Goals per game | Goals allowed per game | Power play % | Penalty kill % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Sharks | 3.06 | 3.50 | 20.0% | 79.1% |
| Boston Bruins | 3.31 | 3.09 | 24.9% | 77.4% |
Shots (per game): Boston 27.1 for and 29.9 against; San Jose 25.9 for and 30.3 against.
5v5 snapshot (rate-based): Boston 2.60 xGF/60 and 2.30 GF/60 at 5v5; San Jose 2.07 xGF/60 and 2.35 GF/60 at 5v5.
Recaps
San Jose Sharks
San Jose is coming off a 6-3 loss at Buffalo on March 10. Over their last five games, the Sharks are 2-3 with two overtime losses, and they have allowed 18 goals across those five.
In net, the Sharks’ two main options have been Yaroslav Askarov (19-17-3, 3.57 GAA, .886 SV%) and Alex Nedeljkovic (11-9-3, 2.83 GAA, .900 SV%). Neither has been confirmed for this start.
Injuries: Ty Dellandrea (lower body) is out and tracking toward a mid-March return. Logan Couture remains on IR with an estimated return listed in mid-September.
Boston Bruins
Boston last played March 10, beating the Kings 2-1 in overtime. The Bruins have been better lately (5-2-3 last 10) while keeping their goals allowed trend reasonable at 2.9 per game over that span.
Boston’s goaltending options are Jeremy Swayman (25-13-3, 2.76 GAA, .906 SV%) and Joonas Korpisalo (11-9-3, 3.28 GAA, .892 SV%). Starter status is not confirmed as of the odds timestamp.
Injuries: Dans Locmelis is listed out with an estimated return in mid-September.
Matchup Keys
- Home-ice split is wide. Boston is 25-8-1 at home, while San Jose is 13-16-1 on the road.
- Boston’s offense vs San Jose’s defense. Bruins score 3.31 goals per game; Sharks allow 3.50 per game.
- Special teams lean Boston. Bruins power play is 24.9% against a Sharks penalty kill at 79.1%.
- Shot volume favors Boston. Bruins generate more shots (27.1 SF/G) and San Jose allows slightly more (30.3 SA/G).
- Rest and travel. San Jose travels east after playing at Buffalo on March 10; Boston stays home after playing March 10.
Betting Trends
- Boston is 25-8-1 at home this season.
- San Jose is 13-16-1 on the road this season.
- Boston is 5-2-3 in its last 10 games.
- San Jose is 3-5-2 in its last 10 games.
- Boston is 35-28-1 to the over/under this season (last 10 totals: 5-5-0).
- San Jose is 30-30-2 to the over/under this season (last 10 totals: 4-6-0).
- Boston is 41-23-0 ATS this season.
- San Jose is 39-23-0 ATS this season.
- San Jose leads the season series 1-0 after a 3-1 win on November 23.
- Boston is 14-6-3 in one-goal games.
Best Bet
Boston Bruins moneyline (-155).
Boston’s home dominance (25-8-1) pairs well with a matchup where San Jose is allowing 3.50 goals per game and coming in off road travel. The Bruins also carry the better top-line scoring profile and own a meaningful power-play edge (24.9%). At -200 you are paying for safety, but the spot and underlying team profiles still point to Boston as the more likely winner.
Predicted Score
Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final score of Bruins 4, Sharks 3.
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