Pittsburgh heads to Philadelphia for Game 6 on Wednesday with the Flyers leading the series 3-2 after the Penguins’ 3-2 win in Game 5.
Philadelphia is a small favorite at home, with the market pricing a relatively low total (5.5) compared to Pittsburgh’s regular-season scoring profile.
Both clubs finished the regular season with 98 points, so this series has been closer on paper than the first three games suggested.
Odds & Game Info
Game 6 is set for Wednesday, April 29, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena (Philadelphia, PA). Odds are from BetOnline. Odds as of 6:35 AM ET on April 28, 2026.
| Market | Pittsburgh Penguins | Philadelphia Flyers |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +100 | -120 |
| Spread (Puck Line) | +1.5 (-245) | -1.5 (+194) |
| Total | Over 5.5 (-122) | Under 5.5 (+100) |
Starting goalies
Starting goalies were not confirmed as of this write-up.
- Pittsburgh last started Arturs Silovs in Game 5.
- Philadelphia last started Dan Vladar in Game 5.
Injury updates
- Penguins: Caleb Jones (D) out for season (shoulder); Filip Hallander (C) out (leg).
- Flyers: Nikita Grebenkin (RW) out (upper body); Rodrigo Abols (C) out (ankle).
Team Records
Records and splits are listed below. Reference link: Team Records
| Team | Record | Last 10 | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 41-25-16 | 5-5-0 | 48-34-0 | 48-32-2 |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 43-27-12 | 7-3-0 | 51-31-0 | 40-39-3 |
Home/road splits (regular season)
- Penguins road: 21-12-8
- Flyers home: 20-13-8
Rest and travel
Both teams are on one day of rest after Game 5 (played April 27 in Pittsburgh) and make the short trip back to Philadelphia. No back-to-back spot.
Team Stats
Season averages are shown below. Reference link: Team Stats
| Team | Goals per game | Goals allowed per game | Power play % | Penalty kill % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 3.57 | 3.27 | 24.14% | 81.43% |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 3.05 | 2.96 | 15.74% | 77.55% |
Shots for/against (per game)
- Penguins: 28.57 SF/G, 27.37 SA/G
- Flyers: 25.46 SF/G, 25.45 SA/G
Recaps
Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh has climbed back into the series by taking Games 4 and 5 after dropping the first three. Their wins in this series have come with improved game state control, including a 4-2 win in Game 4 and a 3-2 win in Game 5 to force Game 6.
The regular-season profile is clear: Pittsburgh can create offense (3.57 goals per game) but has been more volatile defensively (3.27 goals allowed per game), which is part of why totals have often reached six goals or more across their full season.
Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia still holds the upper hand in the series after wins in Games 1 to 3 (3-2, 3-0, 5-2). The Flyers’ path has leaned on keeping opponents’ volume down (25.45 shots allowed per game in the regular season) and turning games into lower-event stretches.
Offensively, Philadelphia’s season-long shot generation is bottom-tier compared to Pittsburgh (25.46 shots per game), which tends to narrow margins when they are not converting on special teams.
Matchup Keys
- Special teams gap: Penguins power play 24.14% vs Flyers 15.74% across the regular season, a meaningful edge in a series with tight 5v5 margins.
- Pace and shot volume: Flyers average 25.46 shots per game, Penguins 28.57. If Philadelphia keeps this game low-event, it supports an under and makes +1.5 more valuable.
- Defensive baseline: Flyers allow 2.96 goals per game vs Penguins 3.27, and Philadelphia also allows fewer shots per game.
- Series scoring profile: 3 of the first 5 games finished with 5 total goals or fewer.
- Venue context: Flyers were 20-13-8 at home in the regular season; Penguins were 21-12-8 on the road, so home ice is a factor but not a mismatch.
Betting Trends
- Flyers are 51-31-0 ATS on the season.
- Penguins are 48-34-0 ATS on the season.
- Flyers totals record: 40-39-3.
- Penguins totals record: 48-32-2.
- Flyers went 20-13-8 at home in the regular season.
- Penguins went 21-12-8 on the road in the regular season.
- Flyers finished the regular season 7-3-0 over their last 10.
- Penguins finished the regular season 5-5-0 over their last 10.
- Three of the first five games in this series landed under 5.5 goals.
Best Bet
Under 5.5 (+100).
Philadelphia’s regular-season identity was built on shot suppression (25.45 shots allowed per game) and a lower shot-for profile (25.46), which typically keeps games from turning into track meets. Even with Pittsburgh’s scoring ceiling (3.57 goals per game), this series has produced three games of five goals or fewer through five. With a Game 6 pressure spot and two goalies who have already handled high-leverage minutes in this matchup, the plus-money under is the best number on the board.
Predicted Score
Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final score of Flyers 3, Penguins 2
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