Home»NHL»New York Rangers vs Philadelphia Flyers Pick - March 09, 2026

New York Rangers vs Philadelphia Flyers Pick – March 09, 2026

Mike McDermott Mike McDermott
Mike McDermott
Mike McDermott
Sports Betting & iGaming Strategist
Mike McDermott is a seasoned sports betting expert and iGaming strategist with over 20 years of real-world experience in casinos, sportsbooks, and online gambling operations. He’s been deeply involved in the evolution of the iGaming industry from the early days of dial-up poker rooms to today’s highly regulated digital platforms
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Sports Betting & iGaming Strategist, Updated March 9, 2026
Fact checked by: Alex Harper
Alex Harper
Alex Harper
Betting Education & Strategy Editor
Alex Harper is a betting education editor with more than 10 years of experience covering sports betting concepts, wager types, and responsible gambling practices. His work focuses on explaining betting mechanics clearly and accurately, including point spreads, totals, futures, parlays, and live betting markets. Alex’s guides are written to help bettors understand risk, probability, and betting structure rather than promote betting behavior.
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New York Rangers vs Philadelphia Flyers is set for Monday night in Philadelphia, with the Flyers priced as a moderate home favorite.

Philadelphia enters with the clearer path to points in the standings, sitting 5th in the Metropolitan Division, while the Rangers are 8th. The Flyers have also won four of their last five games, and New York has struggled away from home recently.

The market is asking you to pay a premium for Rangers +1.5, while the total is hung at 5.5 with near-even juice both ways.

Odds & Game Info

Odds are from Bookmaker. Odds as of 10:20 a.m. ET on March 9, 2026.

ItemNew York RangersPhiladelphia Flyers
Game time (ET)March 9, 2026 (listed 7:00 p.m. ET; puck drop typically shortly after), 7:10 p.m. ET
ArenaXfinity Mobile Arena (Philadelphia, PA)
Puck line+1.5 (-220)-1.5 (+176)
Moneyline+120-144
TotalOver 5.5 (-112)Under 5.5 (-108)

Team Records

Here’s a snapshot of each team’s current resume and betting results.

TeamRecordLast 10ATS (puck line)O/U
New York Rangers24-30-83-5-231-3127-33-2
Philadelphia Flyers29-22-115-3-238-2431-29-2

Team Stats

These core rate stats help frame how a 5.5 total can get there (or not).

TeamGoals per gameGoals allowed per gamePower play %Penalty kill %
New York Rangers2.683.1922.2%78.0%
Philadelphia Flyers2.813.0815.7%79.5%

Recaps

New York Rangers

New York is coming off a 6-3 road loss at New Jersey on Saturday. The Rangers’ penalty kill was a major issue in that one, allowing three power-play goals, and Jonathan Quick stopped 29 of 34 shots in the loss.

From a broader form standpoint, the Rangers are 3-5-2 in their last 10, and they have leaned into lower shot volume offensively (25.5 shots for per game) while allowing 29.0 shots against per game.

Philadelphia Flyers

Philadelphia earned a 4-3 road shootout win over Pittsburgh on Saturday, and the Flyers have now won four of their last five games. Shot generation remains a defining trait in their profile: they are averaging 25.1 shots per game on the season, near the bottom of the league.

Injury-wise, Travis Konecny (upper body) and Nick Seeler (lower body) returned as full participants in practice Sunday but are still listed as game-time decisions. Dan Vladar took a maintenance day Sunday.

Matchup Keys

  • Shot volume is a real limiter here. Rangers (25.5 SF/G) vs Flyers (25.1 SF/G) profiles as a low-shot environment unless special teams create extra volume.
  • Special teams gap favors New York’s power play. Rangers PP is 22.2% vs Flyers PK at 79.5%, while Flyers PP is 15.7% against a Rangers PK at 78.0%.
  • Home/road split points to tighter scoring. Flyers are 14-10-7 at home; Rangers are 16-15-2 on the road, but New York has been trending poorly away from MSG recently per results trends.
  • Discipline matters more for Philadelphia. A Flyers team that already struggles to generate shots cannot afford repeated trips to the box versus a top-half Rangers power play.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia’s last 9 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia’s last 6 home games.
  • Philadelphia is 4-1 straight up in its last 5 games.
  • New York is 0-6 straight up in its last 6 games on the road.
  • New York is 4-15 straight up in its last 19 games overall.
  • The total has gone OVER in 12 of New York’s last 18 games.
  • New York is 13-5 straight up in its last 18 games against Philadelphia.
  • New York is 7-1 straight up in its last 8 road games at Philadelphia.

Best Bet

Under 5.5 (-108).

Philadelphia’s season-long shot creation (25.1 shots per game) keeps a lot of games from turning into track meets, and the Flyers have been playing to the under at home lately. If Konecny is limited or sits, that removes one of the few Flyers who can consistently manufacture goals without volume. The biggest risk to the under is special teams, particularly if Philadelphia takes penalties against a 22.2% Rangers power play.

Predicted Score

Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final score of Flyers 3, Rangers 2

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