Dallas is a clear home favorite (-162) with Nashville coming back at +134. The puck line is priced to the Stars’ scoring margin upside (-1.5 at +152), while the total is shaded to the Over (5.5 at -140).
In the Central, Dallas (35-14-9) is chasing the top tier, while Nashville (27-24-7) is trying to hang in the playoff mix. The profiles are different: Dallas owns the better goal differential and top-end special teams, while Nashville’s results have lagged behind its shot volume.
Injuries matter here. Dallas is without Mikko Rantanen and Tyler Seguin, and Roope Hintz is questionable, which can tighten the Stars’ 5v5 scoring depth even if their power play stays dangerous.
Odds & Game Info
Odds as of 8:05 PM ET on Feb. 27, 2026.
| Game Info | Details |
|---|---|
| Date / Time | Feb. 28, 2026, 8:00 PM ET |
| Arena | American Airlines Center (Dallas, TX) |
| Starting goalies | Not confirmed as of publish time |
Here are the current listed lines for this matchup.
| Market | Nashville Predators | Dallas Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +134 | -162 |
| Spread (Puck Line) | +1.5 (-192) | -1.5 (+152) |
| Total | Over 5.5 (-140) | Under 5.5 (+114) |
Team Snapshot
This table summarizes where each team stands right now, plus key efficiency indicators.
| Team | Record | Last 10 | ATS | O/U | ORtg | DRtg | Pace | Key Injury |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville Predators | 27-24-7 (Road: 11-12-4) | 3-4-3 | N/A | N/A | 2.93 GF/G | 3.45 GA/G | 57.9 shots/game (SF+SA) | Juuse Saros (day-to-day, not injury related); Erik Haula (day-to-day, not injury related) |
| Dallas Stars | 35-14-9 (Home: 17-7-3) | 8-2-0 | N/A | N/A | 3.33 GF/G | 2.72 GA/G | 52.4 shots/game (SF+SA) | Mikko Rantanen (out, lower body); Tyler Seguin (out, ACL); Roope Hintz (day-to-day, illness); Radek Faksa (IR, upper body) |
Recent Form
Nashville Predators
Nashville’s last five games: 3-1-1, scoring 21 total goals and allowing 20. The issue over a larger sample is defense and goaltending outcomes: 3.45 GA/G on the season with a .882 team save percentage, even though the shot volume is respectable (28.6 SF/G).
Special teams are playable but not a true edge in this matchup: 22.2% power play and 80.0% penalty kill. If Saros is limited or unavailable, that only raises the bar for Nashville to keep this within one.
Dallas Stars
Dallas is rolling (8-2-0 last 10) and has won five straight, scoring 21 total goals over its last five while allowing 14. Season-long, the Stars’ defensive results are strong (2.72 GA/G) and they’re doing it without needing a shot-volume edge (25.7 SF/G, 26.7 SA/G).
The biggest separator is special teams: Dallas is converting at 30.0% on the power play. Even if the Stars’ top-end 5v5 punch takes a hit without Rantanen (and possibly Hintz), the PP can still decide this game.
Matchup Keys
- Special teams gap: Stars PP 30.0% vs Predators PK 80.0% is a pressure point if Nashville takes penalties.
- Defensive baseline: Dallas allows 2.72 GA/G vs Nashville allowing 3.45 GA/G, a meaningful difference in a 5.5-total game.
- Shot environment: Nashville plays a higher-event shot profile (28.6 SF/G, 29.3 SA/G) than Dallas (25.7 SF/G, 26.7 SA/G), but Dallas has been the more efficient finishing team.
- 5v5 profile (season): Nashville has the better share of shot attempts (52.6 CF%), while Dallas has been below 50% (46.5 CF%), so the Predators’ best path is to win the territorial game and stay out of the box.
- Availability swing: Dallas is definitely without Rantanen and Seguin, with Hintz questionable; Nashville’s key question is Saros’ status.
Betting Trends
- Dallas is 17-7-3 at home.
- Nashville is 11-12-4 on the road.
- Dallas is 8-2-0 in its last 10 games.
- Nashville is 3-4-3 in its last 10 games.
- Dallas has a +0.61 goal differential per game (3.33 GF/G, 2.72 GA/G).
- Nashville has a -0.52 goal differential per game (2.93 GF/G, 3.45 GA/G).
- Dallas owns the better team save percentage (.898 vs .882).
- Both teams sit around 80% on the penalty kill (DAL 80.3%, NSH 80.0%), but Dallas’ power play is the top-end unit in this matchup (30.0%).
Best Bet
Dallas Stars moneyline (-162).
Dallas has the more reliable defensive profile (2.72 GA/G) and a major special teams advantage with a 30.0% power play. Nashville’s road play is middling (11-12-4), and the Predators’ season-long combination of 3.45 GA/G with a .882 team save percentage is a tough foundation against a disciplined home favorite. Dallas’ injury list is real, but the Stars still bring a higher floor with home ice and the better team-level goaltending results.
Predicted Score
Dallas 4, Nashville 2
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