Montréal heads down Highway 417 for a Wednesday night matchup with Ottawa, with the Senators priced as the home favorite. Ottawa is -178 on the moneyline, while Montréal is +146.
In the standings picture entering March 11, the Canadiens sit third in the Atlantic with 80 points, while Ottawa is sixth in the division with 73 points and chasing a Wild Card spot.
This sets up as a rest and special-teams game: Montréal is on the second night of a back-to-back, and both teams bring top-10 caliber power plays into units that have struggled on the penalty kill.
Odds & Game Info
Odds as of 10:35 a.m. ET on March 11, 2026. Lines via BetOnline.
| Info | Montréal Canadiens | Ottawa Senators |
|---|---|---|
| Game time | 7:30 p.m. ET | |
| Arena | Canadian Tire Centre (Ottawa, Ontario) | |
| Puck line | +1.5 (-172) | -1.5 (+140) |
| Moneyline | +146 | -178 |
| Total | Over 6.5 (-114) | Under 6.5 (-106) |
Team Records
Season results and betting records are below.
| Team | Record | Last 10 | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montréal Canadiens | 35-18-10 | 6-1-2-1 | 38-25-0 | 39-23-1 |
| Ottawa Senators | 32-22-9 | 7-1-2-0 | 29-34-0 | 36-27-0 |
Team Stats
Per-game production and special teams show why 6.5 is in play.
| Team | Goals per game | Goals allowed per game | Power play % | Penalty kill % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montréal Canadiens | 3.54 | 3.25 | 24.86% | 76.73% |
| Ottawa Senators | 3.35 | 3.14 | 23.15% | 73.51% |
Recaps
Montréal Canadiens
Montréal beat Toronto 3-1 on Tuesday, March 10, outshooting the Leafs 33-18. The Canadiens went 0-for-2 on the power play and allowed 0-for-2 on the penalty kill in that game.
Scheduling is the big wrinkle tonight: this is the second leg of a back-to-back, and Montréal moves from a home game into a road divisional spot.
Ottawa Senators
Ottawa is riding strong form, including a 2-0 road win in Vancouver on Monday, March 9. James Reimer stopped all 16 shots he faced for the shutout, and the Senators have been one of the league’s stingier teams by shots allowed per game (24.2).
Ottawa’s results lately have been solid, but the penalty kill remains a clear vulnerability (73.51%), which matters a lot against Montréal’s power play.
Matchup Keys
- Special teams can swing the total: Montréal PP (24.86%) vs Ottawa PK (73.51%), and Ottawa PP (23.15%) vs Montréal PK (76.73%) both point toward conversion chances if whistles pile up.
- Shot-volume contrast: Ottawa allows just 24.2 shots per game, while Montréal generates 26.4 and also gives up 27.5, creating a path for Ottawa’s offense to land above its baseline.
- Rest edge: Montréal is on a back-to-back (played March 10); Ottawa last played March 9 and is back home.
- Key absences: Patrik Laine (Montréal) is out (lower body); Jake Sanderson (Ottawa) is out (upper body), impacting Ottawa’s blue line depth.
- Goalie clarity: Starting goalies were not confirmed as of the odds timestamp, which adds variance to both side and total decisions.
Betting Trends
- Montréal is 38-25-0 ATS this season.
- Ottawa is 29-34-0 ATS this season.
- Montréal totals: 39-23-1 to the Over this season.
- Ottawa totals: 36-27-0 to the Over this season.
- Montréal is 7-3 to the Over in its last 10 games.
- Ottawa is 4-6 to the Over in its last 10 games.
- Head-to-head last 10 meetings: 8-2 to the Over.
- This season’s three Montréal-Ottawa meetings all cleared 6.5 (7, 7, and 11 total goals).
- Ottawa is 7-1-2-0 over its last 10 games (strong points pace).
- Montréal is 17-7-8 on the road this season; Ottawa is 14-10-5 at home.
Best Bet
Over 6.5 (-114). The most consistent driver here is special teams: both clubs have power plays above 23%, and Ottawa’s penalty kill is sitting at 73.51%, which is a difficult profile to trust against a top-tier Montréal PP. The season series is already 3-for-3 to the Over, and Montréal has also played more Overs than Unders in its last 10 (7-3). Even with Montréal on a back-to-back, the combination of PP/PK mismatch plus recent head-to-head scoring makes 6.5 playable.
Predicted Score
Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final score of Ottawa 4, Montréal 3
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