Montréal heads to Anaheim in a true pick’em, with both moneylines sitting at -110 and the total shaded to the Over at 6.5. That pricing makes sense given both clubs’ season-long goal profiles: each is above 3.2 goals per game, and neither is consistently shutting teams down.
In the standings, Montréal (75 points) is in the thick of the Atlantic race, while Anaheim (71 points) is chasing Vegas (72) for the Pacific lead. This is also a contrast in environments: Montréal has banked points on the road, while Anaheim has been strong at Honda Center.
Injuries and the crease matter here. Patrik Laine is on IR for Montréal, and Anaheim has multiple key names on the report including Troy Terry (day-to-day) plus Petr Mrazek (IR).
Odds & Game Info
Here are the current lines from BetOnline.
| Item | Montréal Canadiens | Anaheim Ducks |
|---|---|---|
| Game time | March 6, 2026 (scheduled 9:00 PM ET; commonly listed as 9:10 PM ET for puck drop) | |
| Arena | Honda Center (Anaheim, CA) | |
| Moneyline | -110 | -110 |
| Puck line | -1.5 (+210) | +1.5 (-265) |
| Total | Over 6.5 (-128) | Under 6.5 (+104) |
| Odds timestamp | Odds as of 9:15 AM ET on March 6, 2026. | |
| Projected starting goalies | Samuel Montembeault (not officially confirmed) | Lukáš Dostál (not officially confirmed) |
| Rest/travel spot | Montréal last played Mar. 3 at San Jose; Anaheim last played Mar. 4 vs NY Islanders. | |
Team Records
This table snapshots form, plus puck line and total results to date.
| Team | Record | Last 10 | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montréal Canadiens | 33-18-9 (16-7-7 road) | 5-3-2 | 35-25 | 37-21-2 |
| Anaheim Ducks | 34-24-3 (21-9-1 home) | 8-2-0 | 30-31 | 37-24 |
Team Stats
This table highlights the scoring baseline and the special-teams edge.
| Team | Goals per game | Goals allowed per game | Power play % | Penalty kill % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montréal Canadiens | 3.52 | 3.27 | 24.7% | 76.5% |
| Anaheim Ducks | 3.25 | 3.48 | 18.2% | 77.3% |
Recaps
Montréal Canadiens
Montréal is 5-3-2 in its last 10 with 41 goals scored, so the offense has carried results even when the defensive game gets loose. The most recent outing was a 7-5 loss at San Jose on March 3, and the last five games have produced totals of 12, 8, 7, 6, and 7 goals, which is the profile of a high-event team right now.
Special teams are a major lever: the Canadiens’ power play is converting at 24.7% for the season, and they have enough skill to punish Anaheim’s parade to the box if the game gets chippy. The concern is that Montréal’s penalty kill (76.5%) leaves them vulnerable to momentum swings if they take multiple minors.
Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim has been one of the hotter teams in the league lately at 8-2-0 in its last 10, and the recent results show why totals bettors keep getting dragged into Ducks games. Their last five finished with 6, 6, 5, 9, and 11 total goals, including wins over Edmonton (6-5) and Winnipeg (5-4 OT), plus a 5-1 win over the Islanders on March 4.
The Ducks’ season-long defensive numbers are still a problem (3.48 goals allowed per game), and that keeps the door open for Montréal to score even if Anaheim controls more of the puck. Anaheim’s power play is only 18.2%, so they rely more on 5v5 volume (30.2 shots per game) than on a special-teams knockout.
Matchup Keys
- Total environment: These teams combine for 6.77 goals per game (3.52 for Montréal, 3.25 for Anaheim) and combine to allow 6.75 (3.27 and 3.48), which is why 6.5 is in play.
- Special teams can spike the scoreboard: Montréal PP 24.7% vs Anaheim PK 77.3%, and Anaheim PP 18.2% vs Montréal PK 76.5%.
- Shot volume gap: Anaheim averages 30.2 shots for per game; Montréal is at 26.4. If the Ducks drive attempts, it raises both their scoring ceiling and the Over’s floor.
- 5v5 underlying share is close: Montréal (49.90% shot-attempt share, 50.36% xGF%) and Anaheim (51.48% shot-attempt share, 49.41% xGF%) suggest no massive territorial mismatch at even strength.
- Goaltending volatility: Anaheim’s likely starter Lukáš Dostál (3.02 GAA, .894 SV%) and Montréal’s projected Samuel Montembeault (3.37 GAA, .874 SV%) both point to save-percentage risk if the game opens up.
Betting Trends
- Montréal is 5-3-2 in its last 10 games.
- Anaheim is 8-2-0 in its last 10 games.
- Montréal has played to a strong road record at 16-7-7.
- Anaheim has been reliable at home at 21-9-1.
- Montréal is 37-21-2 to the Over/Under on the season.
- Anaheim is 37-24 to the Over/Under on the season.
- Montréal is 35-25 against the puck line on the season.
- Anaheim is 30-31 against the puck line on the season.
Best Bet
Over 6.5 (-128). Both teams sit in the 3.25 to 3.52 goals-per-game range, and both allow 3.27 or more, so 6.5 is not an inflated number for this matchup. Montréal’s power play (24.7%) is good enough to tack on “extra” scoring that the 5v5 math does not fully capture, and both penalty kills are in the mid-70s. Recent game scripts support it too: each team has multiple 7-plus total goal finals in its last five.
Player Props
No prop made the cut without widely posted, consistent lines and confirmed goalies.
Predicted Score
Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final score of Ducks 4, Canadiens 3
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