Edmonton heads to Anaheim for Game 6 on Thursday, April 30, with the Ducks holding a 3-2 series lead. The regular-season gap between these clubs was tight: Edmonton finished 41-30-11 (93 points) and Anaheim 43-33-6 (92 points).
The market has Edmonton favored on the road at -134, with Anaheim +112. The puck line prices imply a tighter game than the moneyline, while the total is shaded heavily to the Over at 6.5.
Anaheim’s home ice has mattered all year (24-13-4 at home), and Edmonton has been closer to break-even away from Rogers Place (19-16-6 on the road). That backdrop is key when deciding whether to lay road juice or take the plus price at home.
Odds & Game Info
Odds as of 6:51 a.m. ET on April 30, 2026 (via BetOnline).
This table shows the current market for spread, moneyline, and total.
| Market | Edmonton Oilers | Anaheim Ducks |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+164) | +1.5 (-205) |
| Moneyline | -134 | +112 |
| Total (6.5) | Over (-154) | Under (+126) |
When: April 30, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET
Where: Honda Center (Anaheim, CA)
Projected starting goalies (not listed as confirmed): Connor Ingram (EDM) vs Lukas Dostal (ANA).
Injury notes: Edmonton: Adam Henrique (day-to-day, lower body). Anaheim: Radko Gudas (day-to-day, lower body), Ross Johnston (day-to-day, lower body), Max Jones (out, lower body), Jansen Harkins (out, hand), Petr Mrazek (out for season, lower body).
Team Records
Here’s a snapshot of each team’s record profile entering Game 6.
| Team | Record | Last 10 | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edmonton Oilers | 41-30-11 | 4-4-2 | 38-49 | 46-30-2 |
| Anaheim Ducks | 43-33-6 | 5-4-1 | 43-44 | 52-35 |
Team Stats
These baseline rates help frame pace, finishing, and special-teams edge.
| Team | Goals per game | Goals allowed per game | Power play % | Penalty kill % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edmonton Oilers | 3.44 | 3.23 | 30.6% | 77.8% |
| Anaheim Ducks | 3.23 | 3.51 | 18.6% | 76.4% |
Recaps
Edmonton Oilers
Edmonton kept its season alive with a 4-1 win in Game 5 after dropping Games 2 through 4. Across the five games in this series, the Oilers have scored 19 goals and allowed 21, with their best defensive result coming last time out (1 goal allowed).
From a profile standpoint, Edmonton’s advantage remains special teams: a 30.6% power play versus Anaheim’s 76.4% penalty kill. That gap is one of the cleanest, repeatable edges in the matchup if the whistle gets involved.
Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim leads the series 3-2 despite being held to 1 goal in Game 5, after putting up 6, 7, and 4 goals in three of the first four games. The Ducks have scored 21 goals in the series and have cleared 30 shots per game on the season (30.82).
The concern for Anaheim is defensive efficiency: 3.51 goals allowed per game in the regular season, plus a shot-allowance rate of 28.37 shots against per game. If the Ducks spend stretches in their zone, Edmonton’s finishing and power play can flip the script fast.
Matchup Keys
- Special teams gap: Edmonton PP 30.6% vs Anaheim PK 76.4% is a leverage point in a playoff game that can swing on 2 or 3 power plays.
- Defensive baseline: Anaheim allows 3.51 goals per game vs Edmonton allowing 3.23, a meaningful difference when deciding between moneyline sides.
- Shot environment: Anaheim generates 30.82 shots per game; Edmonton allows 26.71. If Anaheim controls volume at home, it supports the underdog case.
- Goalie form signal: The projected matchup lists Ingram at a 3.77 GAA and Dostal at a 4.32 GAA, which matters with a 6.5 total and plus-money Under.
- Rest and travel: Both teams last played April 28. Anaheim stays home; Edmonton travels into a late start (10:00 PM ET).
Betting Trends
- The Ducks are 24-13-4 at home; the Oilers are 19-16-6 on the road.
- Edmonton is 4-4-2 in its last 10 games; Anaheim is 5-4-1 in its last 10.
- Edmonton owns the better special-teams profile: 30.6% PP vs Anaheim’s 18.6% PP, with similar PK rates (77.8% vs 76.4%).
- Anaheim games profile as higher-event: 3.23 GF/G and 3.51 GA/G (6.74 combined).
- Edmonton’s baseline scoring plus Anaheim’s baseline defending points to chances for Edmonton to reach 3 to 4 goals if shot quality holds.
- Edmonton’s season puck-line record is 38-49; Anaheim’s is 43-44, suggesting neither side consistently separates on margin.
- Anaheim averages 30.82 shots per game, and Edmonton averages 29.74, so this matchup is not shot-starved even when pace tightens.
Best Bet
Oilers moneyline (-134). Edmonton has the clearest single-edge in the matchup via special teams (30.6% power play) against an Anaheim penalty kill that is only 76.4%. Anaheim’s 3.51 goals allowed per game also raises the risk of a multi-goal concession if the Ducks take penalties or lose the shot battle in key stretches. With the series at 3-2, you are paying a price, but the profile supports Edmonton as the more reliable scoring side if this turns into a special-teams game.
Predicted Score
Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final score of Oilers 4, Ducks 3.
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