Home»NHL»Detroit Red Wings vs Carolina Hurricanes Pick - February 28, 2026

Detroit Red Wings vs Carolina Hurricanes Pick – February 28, 2026

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Senior Content Editor, Updated February 27, 2026
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Detroit heads to Raleigh to face Carolina at Lenovo Center with the Hurricanes priced as a clear home favorite. The Red Wings are +146 on the moneyline, while Carolina is -176, with the total set at 6.5.

In the standings picture, Carolina enters at 37-15-6 (80 points) atop the Metropolitan, while Detroit is 34-19-6 (74 points) and chasing in the Atlantic. The season series is tied 1-1, with Detroit taking the last meeting 4-3 in OT on Jan. 12.

Odds & Game Info

One snapshot of the market for Red Wings vs. Hurricanes.

Spread (Puck Line)MoneylineTotal
CAR -1.5 (+140) | DET +1.5 (-172)CAR -176 | DET +146Over 6.5 (+112) | Under 6.5 (-138)

Game details

  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Arena: Lenovo Center (Raleigh, NC)
  • Odds as of 8:00 PM ET on Feb 27, 2026.
  • Projected starting goalies (unconfirmed): DET John Gibson | CAR Brandon Bussi

Team Snapshot

A quick side-by-side of form, pricing performance, and scoring profile.

TeamRecordLast 10ATS (Puck Line)O/UORtg (GF/G)DRtg (GA/G)Pace (SF/G)Key Injury
Detroit Red Wings34-19-6 (Road: 16-9-4)5-3-229-2926-27-52.972.9728.4Simon Edvinsson (IR)
Carolina Hurricanes37-15-6 (Home: 22-8-2)8-0-221-3629-27-13.392.8131.9Pyotr Kochetkov (IR, out) | Eric Robinson (day-to-day)

Recent Form

Detroit Red Wings

Detroit is 5-3-2 in its last 10, with that stretch driven more by defense than offense (2.3 goals scored per game, 2.3 allowed). On the season, the Red Wings are at 2.97 GF/G and 2.97 GA/G with a power play running 23.1% and a penalty kill at 79.6%.

The schedule spot is reasonable, but not neutral: Detroit is on the road again after playing at Ottawa on Feb. 26 (a 2-1 OT win). The Red Wings’ road record (16-9-4) keeps them live as an underdog, but their shot volume (28.4 SF/G) can make it harder to control game state when they’re not finishing early chances.

Carolina Hurricanes

Carolina is 8-0-2 over its last 10, and it has paired scoring with structure in that span (3.5 goals scored per game, 2.3 allowed). Season-long, the Hurricanes sit at 3.39 GF/G and 2.81 GA/G, with a 21.6% power play and 80.7% penalty kill.

Carolina’s identity shows up in the peripherals: 31.9 shots for per game and only 24.4 allowed. The Hurricanes are also in a favorable rest and travel setup here, staying home after playing Tampa Bay at home on Feb. 26 (a 5-4 win), while Detroit has to change cities again.

Matchup Keys

  • Shot volume and suppression tilt Carolina. Hurricanes: 31.9 SF/G and 24.4 SA/G; Red Wings: 28.4 SF/G and 27.7 SA/G.
  • Detroit’s power play is a real lever. Red Wings PP: 23.1% vs Hurricanes PK: 80.7%.
  • 5v5 chance generation favors Carolina. Hurricanes at 5v5: 3.07 xGF/60 and 2.46 xGA/60; Red Wings at 5v5: 2.52 xGF/60 and 2.65 xGA/60.
  • Goalie matchup (if it holds) is steady on both sides. Projected Gibson: 2.57 GAA, .906 SV%; projected Bussi: 2.22 GAA, .903 SV% (both unconfirmed).
  • No back-to-back, but travel is one-sided. Carolina stays home; Detroit comes in from Ottawa after playing Feb. 26.
  • Carolina is 22-8-2 at home this season.
  • Detroit is 16-9-4 on the road this season.
  • Carolina is 8-0-2 in its last 10 games.
  • Detroit is 5-3-2 in its last 10 games.
  • Detroit is 3-6-1 to the total in its last 10 games.
  • Carolina is 5-5 to the total in its last 10 games.
  • Detroit is 17-11 on the puck line in away games this season.
  • Carolina is 10-21 on the puck line in home games this season.
  • Carolina is 35-17-6 as a favorite this season.
  • Detroit is 17-14-3 as an underdog this season.

Best Bet

Carolina Hurricanes moneyline (-176)

Carolina’s home profile is strong (22-8-2), and the on-ice indicators support it: elite shot suppression (24.4 SA/G) plus a meaningful 5v5 expected-goals edge (3.07 xGF/60 vs Detroit’s 2.52). Detroit’s road record is good enough to keep this competitive, but their lower shot volume makes them more dependent on finishing and power-play efficiency to steal it. If the expected goalie matchup holds (Gibson vs Bussi), it also reduces upset paths that rely on a clear crease advantage.

Predicted Score

Hurricanes 3, Red Wings 2

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