Dallas closes the regular season on the road against Buffalo in a true pick’em, with both moneylines sitting at -110. The puck line is tilted toward a tight game (Stars +1.5 at -265), while the market is shading the Under at 6.5.
Buffalo enters as the Atlantic Division leader, while Dallas sits near the top of the Central. Both teams are 6-3-1 over their last 10, and both are on a four-game win streak, so the handicap comes down to special teams, injuries, and whether either coach opts to rotate the crease.
This is a rest-and-travel spot with neither club on a back-to-back. Dallas last played April 13 in Toronto, and Buffalo last played April 13 in Chicago before returning home.
Odds & Game Info
| Item | Dallas Stars | Buffalo Sabres |
|---|---|---|
| Game time / Arena | April 15, 2026 (7:10 PM ET), KeyBank Center (Buffalo, NY) | |
| Spread (Puck Line) | +1.5 (-265) | -1.5 (+210) |
| Moneyline | -110 | -110 |
| Total | Over 6.5 (+110) | Under 6.5 (-134) |
Odds via Bookmaker. Odds as of 10:01 AM ET on April 15, 2026.
Starting goalies: not confirmed as of publish time.
Injuries (as of April 15):
- Dallas: Roope Hintz (OUT), Miro Heiskanen (OUT), Nathan Bastian (OUT), Sam Steel (day-to-day)
- Buffalo: Alex Lyon (OUT), Sam Carrick (OUT), Noah Ostlund (OUT)
Team Records
Here’s where both teams stand entering puck drop.
| Team | Record | Last 10 | ATS (Puck Line) | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Stars | 49-20-12 | 6-3-1 | 32-49-0 | 40-40-1 |
| Buffalo Sabres | 50-23-8 | 6-3-1 | 44-37-0 | 37-41-3 |
Dallas road split: 23-9-8. Buffalo home split: 26-10-4.
Team Stats
These season-long per-game rates set the baseline for pace and efficiency.
| Team | Goals per game | Goals allowed per game | Power play % | Penalty kill % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Stars | 3.33 | 2.70 | 28.6% | 80.1% |
| Buffalo Sabres | 3.46 | 2.93 | 19.8% | 82.1% |
Shots per game: Dallas 25.3 for, 26.2 against. Buffalo 28.2 for, 29.1 against.
5v5 possession (season): Dallas CF% 50.00, Buffalo CF% 50.07.
Team Stats source: link
Recaps
Dallas Stars
Dallas is riding a four-game win streak and has gone 6-3-1 over the last 10. Over its last five games, Dallas has scored 17 total goals (3.4 per game) and allowed 14 (2.8 per game), with wins including a 6-5 road game at Toronto and a 2-0 win over the Rangers.
The Stars’ special teams profile is the headline: a 28.6% power play on the season. Over the last five games shown in the game log, Dallas is 3-for-15 on the power play, and it has scored at least four goals in three of those five.
Buffalo Sabres
Buffalo is also 6-3-1 over its last 10 and brings in a four-game win streak. In its last five, Buffalo has scored 21 total goals (4.2 per game) and allowed 12 (2.4 per game), with back-to-back shutout wins (5-0 vs Columbus and 5-1 at Chicago) in that span.
The Sabres’ power play has not matched the even-strength results recently. In the last five games shown in the game log, Buffalo is 0-for-17 on the power play, which matters against a Dallas team that can swing games quickly with man-advantage finishing.
Matchup Keys
- Special teams collision: Dallas PP 28.6% vs Buffalo PK 82.1% is the highest-leverage unit matchup in the game.
- Shot environment: Buffalo plays a higher-event profile (28.2 SF/G, 29.1 SA/G) than Dallas (25.3 SF/G, 26.2 SA/G), which can push volatility around a 6.5 total.
- 5v5 is tight by possession: both teams sit essentially at 50% Corsi share at 5v5, so finishing and goaltending are likely to decide it.
- Injury impact: Dallas is without Roope Hintz and Miro Heiskanen, while Buffalo is without goalie Alex Lyon.
- Rest and travel: both teams last played April 13 and traveled into this one, with no back-to-back fatigue angle.
Betting Trends
- Dallas is 49-20-12 overall and 23-9-8 on the road.
- Buffalo is 50-23-8 overall and 26-10-4 at home.
- Dallas is 6-3-1 in its last 10 games.
- Buffalo is 6-3-1 in its last 10 games.
- Dallas is 40-40-1 to the Over/Under this season.
- Buffalo is 37-41-3 to the Over/Under this season.
- Dallas is 32-49-0 against the puck line this season.
- Buffalo is 44-37-0 against the puck line this season.
- Both teams are 5-5 to the Over/Under in their last 10 games.
Best Bet
Dallas Stars moneyline (-110).
Dallas’ edge is easiest to quantify on special teams: the Stars’ power play (28.6%) creates a real separation point in a game where 5v5 possession is basically even and both teams are in similar recent form (6-3-1 last 10). Buffalo’s home record is strong, but the Sabres also allow volume (29.1 shots against per game), and that can be costly if Dallas is getting extra looks via penalties. If the goalie rotation ends up favoring Dallas, the price becomes even more playable, but the handicap still works at a pick’em without needing to assume a specific starter.
Predicted Score
Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final score of Dallas 4, Buffalo 3
21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.