Colorado heads to Dallas on Friday night in a Central Division heavyweight game, with the Avalanche (91 points) holding a six-point edge on the Stars (85) entering play.
Colorado is a short road favorite on the moneyline, while the market is shading the total to the under at 6.5 with heavy juice.
Dallas brings a 10-game winning streak into this one, so Colorado’s elite goal prevention and shot volume will be tested in a tough home building.
Odds & Game Info
One snapshot of the betting lines is below (odds from BetUS). Odds as of 9:15 a.m. ET on March 6, 2026.
| Market | Colorado Avalanche | Dallas Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Spread (Puck Line) | -1.5 (+194) | +1.5 (-245) |
| Moneyline | -128 | +106 |
| Total | Over 6.5 (+114) | Under 6.5 (-140) |
| Game Info | Details |
|---|---|
| Date / Time (ET) | March 6, 2026, 8:10 p.m. ET |
| Arena | American Airlines Center (Dallas, TX) |
| Rest / Travel | Both teams last played March 3; no back-to-back. Colorado travels from its last stop in Anaheim; Dallas returns home after games in Calgary and Vancouver. |
| Projected starting goalies | COL: Mackenzie Blackwood (18-6-1, 2.22 GAA, .916 SV%) | DAL: Jake Oettinger (25-10-4, 2.67 GAA, .898 SV%). Not officially confirmed. |
Team Records
ATS and full-season O/U records were not available in the provided data for this matchup.
| Team | Record | Last 10 | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Avalanche | 41-10-9 (Away: 19-6-5) | 6-4-0 | 33-27 | 27-32-1 |
| Dallas Stars | 38-14-9 (Home: 18-7-3) | 10-0-0 | 25-36 | 30-31 |
Team Stats
This table reflects current season-to-date rates for each team.
| Team | Goals per game | Goals allowed per game | Power play % | Penalty kill % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Avalanche | 3.82 | 2.40 | 15.5% | 83.5% |
| Dallas Stars | 3.41 | 2.66 | 30.0% | 80.6% |
Recaps
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado enters on a 3-game win streak and has gone 4-1 over its last five. The Avalanche just finished a road swing with wins at Anaheim (5-1 on March 3) and at Los Angeles (4-2 on March 2), and they beat Chicago 3-1 on Feb. 28.
The season-long profile remains dominant: 3.82 goals scored per game with only 2.40 allowed, plus strong shot volume (34.2 shots for per game) and low shots against (26.6). Special teams are polarizing, with a 15.5% power play but an 83.5% penalty kill.
Dallas Stars
Dallas is 10-0-0 in its last 10 and is riding a franchise-best 10-game winning streak. The Stars’ last two games were emphatic road wins: 6-1 at Calgary on March 3 and 6-1 at Vancouver on March 2, after homestand wins over Nashville (3-2 on Feb. 28) and Seattle (4-1 on Feb. 25).
Dallas’ edge is special teams: a 30.0% power play that can swing tight games quickly. The concern for betters is the shot environment at even strength: the Stars are at 26.0 shots for per game and 26.4 shots against, which is far closer to break-even than Colorado’s profile.
Matchup Keys
- Shot volume gap: Colorado (34.2 SF/G) creates far more looks than Dallas (26.0 SF/G). If the Stars don’t win the special-teams battle, they can get out-chanced at 5v5.
- Power play vs penalty kill: Dallas’ 30.0% PP runs into Colorado’s 83.5% PK. If Colorado stays disciplined, it lowers Dallas’ cleanest scoring path.
- Colorado’s PP is a potential leak: The Avalanche are at 15.5% on the power play, which can leave value on the table if Dallas takes penalties.
- Goaltending form matters: Blackwood’s season line (2.22 GAA, .916 SV%) has been stronger than Oettinger’s (2.67, .898) in the aggregate.
- Total of 6.5 is a high bar: Colorado allows 2.40 goals per game; if this plays like a playoff-style Central game, Dallas needs efficiency to push it over.
Betting Trends
- Dallas is 10-0-0 in its last 10 games.
- Dallas has won 10 straight games (current streak: W10).
- Colorado is on a 3-game win streak (current streak: W3).
- Colorado is 19-6-5 on the road this season.
- Dallas is 18-7-3 at home this season.
- Colorado is allowing 2.40 goals per game.
- Colorado is generating 34.2 shots per game (one of the highest shot-volume profiles in the league).
- Dallas’ power play is operating at 30.0%.
Best Bet
Colorado Avalanche moneyline (-128)
Colorado’s shot profile (34.2 SF/G, 26.6 SA/G) is the cleanest foundation in this matchup, and it pairs with the stronger season-long goal prevention (2.40 GA/G). Dallas’ 10-game heater is real, but this is also a step up in opponent quality, and the Stars’ biggest advantage (power play) runs into an elite Colorado penalty kill (83.5%). At this price, the Avalanche are the side that needs fewer things to go right at 5v5 to win the game.
Player Props
No prop lines were provided, so there isn’t a responsible “best” prop to recommend. If you’re shopping shots markets, Nathan MacKinnon’s volume is the most consistent angle (269 shots this season, roughly 4.5 per game), which tends to travel well on the road.
Predicted Score
Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final score of Colorado 3, Dallas 2.
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