Chicago heads to Dallas on Sunday, March 8, with the Stars sitting 2nd in the Central (86 points) and the Blackhawks near the bottom of the division (56 points). Dallas is priced as the clear favorite, but this matchup has played tighter than the market suggests in the season series.
Dallas is -265 on the moneyline with a -1.5 puck line available at plus money, while Chicago is +215 and +1.5 at -124. The total is 6.5, shaded to the under.
The scheduling spot slightly favors Dallas: the Stars are at home again after playing March 6, while Chicago is traveling into Dallas after its March 6 home game.
Odds & Game Info
Odds listed below are from MyBookie.
| Info | Details |
|---|---|
| Matchup | Chicago Blackhawks @ Dallas Stars |
| Date | March 8, 2026 |
| Game time | 6:10 PM ET |
| Arena | American Airlines Center (Dallas, TX) |
| Odds timestamp | Odds as of 7:57 AM ET on March 8, 2026. |
| Market | Chicago | Dallas |
|---|---|---|
| Spread (Puck Line) | +1.5 (-124) | -1.5 (+102) |
| Moneyline | +215 | -265 |
| Total | Over 6.5 (+110) | Under 6.5 (-134) |
Team Records
| Team | Record | Last 10 | ATS (Puck Line) | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Blackhawks | 23-29-10 (Road: 11-14-5) | 2-6-2 | 38-24 | 26-35-1 |
| Dallas Stars | 38-14-10 (Home: 18-7-4) | 9-0-1 | 26-36 | 31-31 |
Team Stats
| Team | Goals per game | Goals allowed per game | Power play % | Penalty kill % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Blackhawks | 2.63 | 3.16 | 19.3% | 85.6% |
| Dallas Stars | 3.42 | 2.68 | 29.9% | 80.1% |
Recaps
Chicago Blackhawks
Chicago enters after a 6-3 home loss to Vancouver on March 6. The Blackhawks have struggled to drive volume all season (24.5 shots for per game) and are allowing 29.3 shots against per game, which creates a thin margin when the finishing dries up at even strength.
In net, Spencer Knight is not expected to be available (illness), leaving Chicago reliant on Arvid Soderblom or Drew Commesso. Official starter confirmation was not available at the time of writing.
Dallas Stars
Dallas is coming off a 5-4 shootout loss to Colorado on March 6, but the broader form is elite: 9-0-1 over the last 10. The Stars are producing 3.42 goals per game while allowing 2.68, and the power play has been a difference-maker at 29.9%.
Dallas is dealing with meaningful forward absences (Roope Hintz out; Mikko Rantanen on IR; Tyler Seguin on IR-LT; Radek Faksa on IR), so the top-six efficiency matters more than ever. Jake Oettinger is listed atop the projected goalie order; confirmation was not available at the time of writing.
Matchup Keys
- Special teams clash: Dallas PP (29.9%) vs Chicago PK (85.6%) is strength-on-strength. If Chicago stays out of the box, it lowers Dallas’ easiest path to separation.
- Puck line profile mismatch: Chicago has been a strong puck-line team (38-24), while Dallas has been below water against the puck line (26-36).
- Shot volume gap: Chicago averages 24.5 SF/G and allows 29.3 SA/G; Dallas is at 25.9 SF/G and 26.5 SA/G. If Dallas controls the shot share, Chicago’s low-volume offense has trouble playing from behind.
- Injury-driven scoring distribution: With Hintz, Rantanen, Seguin, and Faksa sidelined, Dallas needs its remaining top-end to convert at 5v5, not just on the power play.
- Possession baseline: Team Corsi% this season: Dallas 49.0%, Chicago 46.1%.
Betting Trends
- Dallas is 9-0-1 in its last 10 games.
- Chicago is 2-6-2 in its last 10 games.
- Dallas is 18-7-4 at home.
- Chicago is 11-14-5 on the road.
- Chicago is 38-24 against the puck line this season.
- Dallas is 26-36 against the puck line this season.
- Chicago is 26-35-1 to the over/under this season (under-heavy profile).
- Dallas is 31-31 to the over/under this season.
- Dallas has lost both prior meetings with Chicago this season, each by a 4-3 score (one in a shootout, one in regulation).
Best Bet
Chicago +1.5 (-124). Chicago’s season-long puck-line results (38-24) align with a matchup that has stayed within one goal in both prior meetings, and Dallas’ injuries up front raise the bar for covering -1.5 without relying on power-play separation. Dallas can still win this game, but laying the goal and a half asks for a cleaner margin than the Stars have consistently delivered against the number (26-36 ATS). If Chicago’s top line generates enough to reach 2 to 3 goals, +1.5 is live deep into the third period.
Predicted Score
Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final score of Dallas 3, Chicago 2
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