Calgary opens a five-game Eastern trip in Washington on Monday night, while the Capitals look to stabilize after a 3-1 loss in Boston on Saturday.
Washington is priced as the clear favorite on the moneyline, but the puck line offers plus money if you believe the Caps can create separation against the league’s lowest-scoring attack.
Odds & Game Info
Odds as of 10:20 a.m. ET on March 9, 2026. Odds provided by BetOnline.
| Item | Calgary Flames | Washington Capitals |
|---|---|---|
| Game time / Arena | 7:10 p.m. ET / Capital One Arena | |
| Puck line | +1.5 (-158) | -1.5 (+128) |
| Moneyline | +158 | -192 |
| Total | Over 5.5 (-134) | Under 5.5 (+110) |
| Projected starting goalies | Dustin Wolf | Logan Thompson |
Goalie note: starters were not confirmed at publish time.
Injuries to monitor:
- Calgary: Jonathan Huberdeau (out for season), Samuel Honzek (out for season), Jake Bean (out), Joel Hanley (day-to-day), Zach Whitecloud (day-to-day).
- Washington: Sonny Milano (day-to-day).
Team Records
Here’s where each team stands entering Monday.
| Team | Record | Last 10 | ATS (puck line) | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calgary Flames | 25-30-7 (Road: 9-18-3) | 4-5-0-1 | 30-28 | 25-26-7 |
| Washington Capitals | 31-26-7 (Home: 19-11-3) | 6-4-0 | 31-30 | 27-27-7 |
Team Stats
Season-long scoring and special teams profile.
| Team | Goals per game | Goals allowed per game | Power play % | Penalty kill % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calgary Flames | 2.47 | 3.00 | 16.1% | 81.9% |
| Washington Capitals | 3.11 | 2.92 | 16.1% | 78.6% |
Additional matchup stats:
- Shots per game: Calgary 28.7, Washington 29.0.
- Shots against per game: Calgary 29.5, Washington 28.1.
- 5v5 expected goal share (score and venue adjusted, season snapshot): Calgary 51.5% xG%, Washington 52.6% xG%.
Recaps
Calgary Flames
Calgary beat Carolina 5-4 on Saturday, snapping a four-game skid. Joel Farabee posted 2 goals and 1 assist, Ryan Strome had a goal and an assist in his Flames debut, and Dustin Wolf stopped 25 shots.
Offensively, Calgary’s baseline remains thin (2.47 goals per game), and the injuries matter. If Huberdeau remains out, the Flames are leaning even more on line-generated offense and secondary finishing rather than top-end creation.
Washington Capitals
Washington lost 3-1 at Boston on Saturday, its third straight loss, in a game where it managed one goal despite multiple special teams chances. Aliaksei Protas scored Washington’s lone goal, and Logan Thompson took the loss.
In the first meeting with Calgary (Jan. 23 in Calgary), Washington won 3-1 and won the shots battle 38-26. That game script is relevant here: Washington’s deeper forward group tends to control volume against opponents that struggle to create off the rush.
Matchup Keys
- Calgary’s scoring profile vs Washington’s defense: Flames at 2.47 goals per game (32nd), Capitals allowing 2.92 goals per game.
- Special teams likely do not carry the Over: both power plays are at 16.1%, and Calgary’s penalty kill is strong (81.9%).
- Shot volume and suppression lean Washington: Caps allow 28.1 shots against per game; Calgary allows 29.5.
- Goaltending edge to Washington if Wolf vs Thompson: Wolf 2.75 GAA and .899 SV%, Thompson 2.38 GAA and .913 SV%.
- Scheduling spot: Calgary is in a travel position starting an East trip, while Washington returns home after a road game in Boston (no back-to-back for either side).
Betting Trends
- Calgary is 9-18-3 on the road.
- Washington is 19-11-3 at home.
- Calgary is 4-5-0-1 in its last 10 games.
- Washington is 6-4-0 in its last 10 games.
- Calgary’s games are 25-26-7 to the total.
- Washington’s games are 27-27-7 to the total.
- Both teams sit at 16.1% on the power play, which lowers the probability of a special-teams-driven total.
- The last three Flames-Capitals meetings have finished Under the closing total (including a 3-1 game on Jan. 23, 2026).
Best Bet
Under 5.5 (+110).
Calgary’s season-long offense (2.47 goals per game) is the clearest data point in this matchup, and it’s paired with a Washington team that plays to a solid goals-against profile (2.92). Both power plays are stuck at 16.1%, so you’re not relying on a special-teams spike to get to six. At plus money, the Under is priced more like a 50-50, and the Flames’ scoring baseline makes that a bet worth taking.
Predicted Score
Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final score of Washington 3, Calgary 2
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