Anaheim heads to Toronto on Thursday night with plus money on the moneyline, while the Maple Leafs are priced as modest home favorites.
Toronto enters on an eight-game losing streak, and the splits show why this price is touchy: the Leafs are 16-11-7 at home, but they’ve been outscored on the season and have struggled to keep pucks out.
Anaheim’s overall record is stronger, and the Ducks’ last-10 form has been clearly better, even though their road results have been closer to coin-flip.
Odds & Game Info
| Info | Details |
|---|---|
| Matchup | Anaheim Ducks @ Toronto Maple Leafs |
| Date / Time | March 12, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET |
| Arena | Scotiabank Arena (Toronto) |
| Sportsbook (odds source) | BetOnline |
Here’s the current betting market snapshot.
| Market | Anaheim | Toronto |
|---|---|---|
| Spread (puck line) | -1.5 +216 | +1.5 -251 |
| Moneyline | -111 | -105 |
| Total | Ov 6.5 -119 | |
Team Records
Records and recent form are below.
| Team | Record | Last 10 | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anaheim Ducks | 36-25-3 | 8-2-0 | N/A | N/A |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 27-27-11 | 2-6-2 | N/A | N/A |
Team Stats
This table focuses on scoring and special teams.
| Team | Goals per game | Goals allowed per game | Power play % | Penalty kill % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anaheim Ducks | 3.23 | 3.47 | 17.9% | 77.5% |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 3.11 | 3.48 | 19.1% | 83.0% |
Recaps
Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim is coming off a 4-1 road win at Winnipeg on Tuesday (March 10), scoring three goals in a 1:44 stretch in the second period. That result also kicked off a four-game Canada trip.
Over the last 10, the Ducks are 8-2-0 while averaging 3.6 goals scored per game and allowing 3.1 goals per game.
Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto dropped a 3-1 decision at Montreal on Tuesday (March 10) and enters this one on an eight-game losing streak.
Over the last 10, the Leafs are 2-6-2 and have averaged 2.4 goals per game while allowing 3.2 goals per game.
Matchup Keys
- Shot profile clash: Anaheim is generating 30.25 shots per game and allowing 28.97, while Toronto is at 27.40 shots per game and allowing 31.97.
- Special teams edge to Toronto’s PK: Leafs penalty kill is 83.0% versus Anaheim at 77.5%.
- Goaltending (projected): Lukas Dostal (26 W, .893 SV%, 3.01 GAA) vs Joseph Woll (13 W, .904 SV%, 3.09 GAA).
- Toronto’s margin for error has been thin: the Leafs have been outscored 226-202 on the season.
- Game state matters for Anaheim: the Ducks are 31-9-2 when they score 3+ goals.
Betting Trends
- Anaheim is 8-2-0 in its last 10 games.
- Toronto is 2-6-2 in its last 10 games.
- Toronto enters on an eight-game losing streak.
- Toronto is 16-11-7 at home this season.
- Anaheim is 14-15-2 on the road this season.
- Toronto has been outscored by 24 goals on the season (202 scored, 226 allowed).
- Projected goalie matchup favors Toronto slightly by save percentage (.904 Woll vs .893 Dostal), but Anaheim has the stronger recent team form.
- Toronto is 7-0 straight up in its last seven home games vs Anaheim.
Best Bet
Anaheim Ducks moneyline (-111).
Anaheim’s current form (8-2-0 last 10) is a meaningful gap versus Toronto (2-6-2 last 10), and the Leafs’ defensive results have been a season-long issue at 3.48 goals allowed per game. The Ducks’ shot rates also travel well, and Toronto is allowing 31.97 shots against per game, a volume that can swing win probability even if the Leafs get average goaltending. If you’re betting Toronto, you’re largely betting on a home-ice reset and the Ducks’ sub-.500 road record holding.
Predicted Score
Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final score of Ducks 4, Maple Leafs 3.
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