Anaheim heads to Rogers Place with a 3-1 series lead, putting Edmonton in a must-win spot in Game 5. The Oilers are still priced as the home favorite at -170, while the Ducks sit at +140.
With the total at 6.5 shaded heavily to the over, the market is continuing to respect the scoring pace we have seen throughout this series.
Odds & Game Info
Game 5 at Rogers Place (Edmonton). Puck drop: April 28, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET. Odds as of 6:30 AM ET on April 28, 2026.
This table lists the current odds from Bookmaker.
| Market | Anaheim Ducks | Edmonton Oilers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread (Puck Line) | +1.5 (-154) | -1.5 (+126) |
| Moneyline | +140 | -170 |
| Total (6.5) | Over 6.5 (-170) | Under 6.5 (+138) |
Injuries (status as of today):
- Ducks: Radko Gudas (lower body), Ross Johnston (lower body), Jansen Harkins (hand) all listed out.
- Oilers: Adam Henrique (lower body), Max Jones (lower body), Colton Dach (illness) all listed out.
Team Records
This table summarizes regular-season performance and recent form.
| Team | Record | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|
| Anaheim Ducks | 43-33-6 (Road: 19-20-2) | 2-6-2 |
| Edmonton Oilers | 41-30-11 (Home: 22-14-5) | 6-2-2 |
Team Stats
This table focuses on the core scoring and special teams profile.
| Team | Goals per game | Goals allowed per game | Power play % | Penalty kill % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anaheim Ducks | 3.23 | 3.51 | 18.6% | 76.4% |
| Edmonton Oilers | 3.44 | 3.23 | 30.6% | 77.8% |
Recaps
Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim has taken control of the series by winning three straight to lead 3-1. The Ducks have scored 6, 7, and 4 goals in their three wins, and their power play has produced 6 goals on 12 chances (50.0%) in the series.
At 5-on-5 in the regular season, Anaheim posted a 52.2% share of shot attempts, a useful indicator that their possession profile can hold up even when whistles are put away.
Edmonton Oilers
Edmonton has lost three consecutive games despite scoring first in each of the first four. The biggest series swing has come on special teams: the Oilers have taken untimely penalties, and Anaheim’s power play has punished mistakes consistently.
In net, Edmonton changed course after the first three games, when Connor Ingram allowed 14 goals on 93 shots (.849). Tristan Jarry started Game 4, but Edmonton has not confirmed who starts Game 5.
Matchup Keys
- Special teams volatility: Regular-season gap favors Edmonton PP (30.6%), but Anaheim’s PP has been the series driver at 6-for-12 (50.0%).
- Shot environment: Anaheim averaged 30.82 shots for per game and 28.37 against; Edmonton averaged 29.74 shots for and just 26.71 against, so if Edmonton keeps shots against low, it raises their margin for error.
- 5-on-5 indicators: Anaheim (52.2% 5v5 shot attempts share) has a profile that can travel; Edmonton’s 5v5 CF% (50.8) and xGF% (52.1) suggest they are not getting caved at even strength.
- Rest and travel: Both teams had a day between Games 4 (April 26 in Anaheim) and 5 (April 28 in Edmonton), with travel for Anaheim and a return-home spot for Edmonton.
Betting Trends
- The over (6.5) has cashed in all four games of this series (each game reached 7+ total goals).
- Anaheim has won three straight and leads the series 3-1.
- Edmonton is 22-14-5 at home in the regular season; Anaheim was 19-20-2 on the road.
- Edmonton closed the regular season 6-2-2 in its last 10; Anaheim went 2-6-2 in its last 10.
- Anaheim’s power play is operating at 50.0% in the series (6-for-12).
- Edmonton’s penalty kill ranked 77.8% in the regular season, but the series results have been worse due to volume and timing of penalties.
- Edmonton averaged fewer shots against per game (26.71) than Anaheim (28.37), a key variable for a lower-event Edmonton game script.
- With Edmonton not naming a starter yet, goaltending certainty leans toward Anaheim heading into puck drop.
Best Bet
Anaheim Ducks moneyline (+140). Anaheim is up 3-1 and has created the clearest repeatable edge in the series on special teams, converting 6 of 12 power plays. Edmonton’s goalie plan is still unsettled after a mid-series switch, and that uncertainty matters in a matchup that has produced 7+ total goals every game. At plus money, you are buying the team that has been dictating the series’ biggest leverage moments.
Predicted Score
Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final score of Ducks 4, Oilers 3
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