Portland and Phoenix wrap the regular season right next to each other in the West and now get the classic 7 vs 8 Play-In setup. The Suns were the better ATS team over the full season, but Portland comes in hotter over the last 10 with a defense that has tightened up.
Phoenix is priced as the favorite at home, laying 4.5 with a low-to-mid total of 217.5. That number lines up with Phoenix’s slower pace and season-long tendency toward unders, especially in Phoenix.
Odds as of 8:59 AM ET on April 13, 2026.
Odds & Game Info
| Game Info | Details |
|---|---|
| Date / Time (ET) | April 14, 2026 — 10:10 PM ET |
| Arena | Mortgage Matchup Center (Phoenix) |
| Market | Portland Trail Blazers | Phoenix Suns |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +146 | -174 |
| Spread | +4.5 (-110) | -4.5 (-110) |
| Total | 217.5 (O -110 / U -110) | |
Team Overview
| Team | Record | Home / Road | Last 10 | ATS | O/U | ORtg | DRtg | Pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trail Blazers | 42-40 | 24-17 / 18-23 | 7-3 | 44-38-0 | 43-39-0 | 113.1 | 113.5 | 101.6 |
| Suns | 45-37 | 25-16 / 20-21 | 5-5 | 48-34-0 | 37-45-0 | 114.2 | 112.9 | 98.1 |
Team Recaps
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland’s profile is built around pace and extra chances: 101.6 pace (top-10) plus a 35.4% offensive rebound rate (ranked 4th) gives them a path to win possession counts even when the shot-making is uneven. The downside is a glaring ball-security problem: 16.9% turnover rate (30th).
The form is real, though. Over the last 10, Portland is 7-3 with a 117.6 offensive rating and a 104.6 defensive rating, a massive improvement on the defensive side compared to its season baseline.
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix plays slower than most (98.1 pace, 24th) and leans on defense to keep games in range: 112.9 defensive rating (10th). Offensively they sit mid-pack (114.2 offensive rating, 18th), with a three-point heavy shot diet (35.1% 3-point frequency).
The Suns’ biggest “betting identity” point is how their home games have trended on totals. They finished 37-45 to the over overall, and just 15-26 to the over at home, which matters with a Play-In total sitting in the high 210s.
Matchup Keys
- Turnovers vs pressure: Portland’s 16.9% turnover rate (30th) runs into Phoenix’s 16.5% forced turnover rate (3rd). If the Blazers cough it up, the +4.5 gets fragile quickly.
- Offensive glass battle: Portland’s 35.4% ORB rate (4th) is a direct attack point against a Phoenix defense allowing a 32.3% opponent ORB rate (27th). Second-chance points are Portland’s cleanest path to an upset.
- Who controls tempo: Phoenix wants a half-court game (98.1 pace), Portland wants to run (101.6). The team that wins the pace battle is likely to win the total.
- Free-throw pressure: Portland’s FT rate (28.0%, 9th) is a strength; Phoenix’s FT rate (22.5%, 28th) is not. If whistles tilt Portland’s way, the underdog can stay attached late.
- 3-point variance: Both offenses skew 3-point heavy (Phoenix 35.1% 3PA frequency; Portland 35.0%), so this game can swing hard on a 4-minute shooting window.
Betting Trends
- Phoenix: 48-34-0 ATS on the season.
- Phoenix at home: 24-17-0 ATS.
- Portland: 44-38-0 ATS on the season.
- Portland on the road: 19-22-0 ATS.
- Phoenix: 37-45-0 to the over (45 unders in 82 games).
- Phoenix at home: 15-26-0 to the over (26 home unders).
- Portland: 43-39-0 to the over overall, but 18-23-0 to the over on the road (more road unders than overs).
- Portland last 10: 7-3 with a 104.6 defensive rating in that span.
Best Bet
Under 217.5 (-110) for 3 units.
Phoenix is one of the slower teams in the league (98.1 pace), and their home totals profile is under-heavy (15-26 to the over at home). Portland plays faster, but their road O/U results leaned under (18-23 to the over away from home), which pairs well with a Suns team that prefers half-court possessions and turnover pressure over track meets. If Phoenix’s ball pressure forces Portland into wasted trips, it’s hard for this matchup to reach the high 210s without elite 3-point shooting on both sides.
Predicted Score
Phoenix Suns 110, Portland Trail Blazers 105
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