Philadelphia heads to Cleveland on Monday night shorthanded, and the market has priced this like a mismatch: Cavaliers -670 on the moneyline and laying 12.5 points. With Philly missing multiple primary creators, this is a tough spot to keep pace for 48 minutes.
The total (227.5) sits in a middle zone: Cleveland’s offense is efficient, but both teams play at a near-league-average pace and the Sixers’ current injury list lowers their scoring floor.
Odds & Game Info
Here’s the betting board and basic game info for Monday night.
| Item | Details |
|---|---|
| Tip time | 7:10 PM ET |
| Arena | Rocket Arena (Cleveland, OH) |
| Spread | Cavaliers -12.5 (-110) | 76ers +12.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | Cavaliers -670 | 76ers +490 |
| Total | Over 227.5 (-108) | Under 227.5 (-112) |
| Odds timestamp | Odds from Bookmaker as of 10:12 AM ET on March 9, 2026. |
Team Overview
This snapshot leans on season-to-date performance plus current availability.
| Team | Record | Last 10 | ATS | O/U | ORtg | DRtg | Pace | Key Injury |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia 76ers | 34-29 (Road 17-13) | 4-6 | 32-29-2 | 32-31-0 | 114.3 | 114.6 | 100.0 | Tyrese Maxey (out), Joel Embiid (out), Paul George (out) |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 39-25 (Home 21-12) | 6-4 | 27-37-0 | 30-34-0 | 117.2 | 113.1 | 100.9 | Jarrett Allen (day-to-day) |
Team Recaps
Philadelphia 76ers
Philly’s recent form is sliding (4-6 last 10, 3-7 ATS last 10), and the underlying efficiency is moving the wrong way: their last-10 offensive rating is 108.6, well below their 114.3 season mark. That drop matters even more with Tyrese Maxey (hand) out, Joel Embiid (oblique) out, and Paul George unavailable.
The Sixers do have a couple of traits that can keep them competitive in spurts: they protect the ball (13.6% turnover rate, top-tier) and generate takeaways defensively (15.6% forced turnover rate). The issue is what happens after the first miss: they rank poorly in opponent offensive rebounding rate allowed (32.6%), which can snowball into extra Cleveland possessions.
Rest/travel note: Philadelphia last played Saturday, March 7 (at Atlanta) and had Sunday to travel and reset for this one.
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland’s profile is built around shot-making and half-court efficiency (117.2 offensive rating, 55.5% eFG%). At home (21-12), that efficiency tends to show up early, which is why the spread is so inflated despite Cleveland’s ugly season-long ATS record (27-37).
The main scheduling wrinkle is fatigue: the Cavs played Sunday, March 8 (vs Boston) and are on the second night of a back-to-back. If Jarrett Allen (knee) can’t go or is limited, Cleveland’s rim protection and defensive rebounding take a hit, but the matchup still favors them if Philly can’t score consistently in the half court.
Matchup Keys
- Efficiency gap (season-long): Cavaliers ORtg 117.2 vs 76ers ORtg 114.3, plus Cleveland’s eFG% edge (55.5% vs 52.9%).
- Philly’s scoring floor is lower than usual: the Sixers’ last-10 ORtg is 108.6, and they’re missing Maxey, Embiid, and George.
- Extra possessions point toward Cleveland: Philadelphia allows a high opponent ORB% (32.6%), and Cleveland is a strong offensive rebounding team (31.0% ORB%).
- Turnovers are the swing factor: Philly is elite at limiting mistakes (13.6% TOV), while Cleveland is a solid pressure team (15.5% forced TOV%).
- Back-to-back watch: Cleveland’s legs on defense and on the glass are worth monitoring, especially if Allen sits.
Betting Trends
- 76ers are 4-6 straight up in their last 10 games.
- 76ers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games.
- 76ers have gone Over in 6 of their last 10 games.
- Cavaliers are 6-4 straight up in their last 10 games.
- Cavaliers are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games.
- Cavaliers are 5-5 on the total in their last 10 games.
- Season to date, Cavaliers are 27-37 ATS (below .500 despite a strong SU record).
- Season to date, Cavaliers are 30-34 on the total (more Unders than Overs).
- Philadelphia is 17-13 on the road; Cleveland is 21-12 at home.
Best Bet
Under 227.5 (-112)
Philadelphia’s injury list removes too much shot creation to trust them to hold up their end of a 227.5 total, and their recent efficiency backs it up (108.6 offensive rating over the last 10). Cleveland can score, but they’re also on the second night of a back-to-back, which often shows up as slower pace and more empty possessions, especially if Allen (knee) is limited or out. This number can still get threatened by a blowout and late-game bench scoring, but the cleanest angle is that Philly’s offensive floor is materially lower tonight than their season averages suggest.
Units: 3/5
Predicted Score
Cavaliers 118, 76ers 104
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