Game 2 of Knicks–Spurs brings a classic Finals betting question: do you chase the bounce-back offense, or do you respect what these teams are all season long, which is efficient, physical, and hard to score on?
The market is dealing San Antonio as the home favorite (Spurs -6.5, -230 ML) with a modest total of 214.5. With both teams sitting top-7 in defensive rating and the Knicks playing at a below-average pace, the cleanest angle is still the total, not the side.
Odds as of 8:25 AM ET on June 5, 2026.
Odds & Game Info
| Item | Details |
|---|---|
| Matchup | New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs |
| Date / Time (ET) | June 5, 2026 / 8:40 PM ET |
| Arena | Frost Bank Center |
| Moneyline | Knicks +190 | Spurs -230 |
| Spread | Knicks +6.5 (-114) | Spurs -6.5 (-106) |
| Total | Over 214.5 (-110) | Under 214.5 (-110) |
Team Overview
| Team | Record | Last 10 | ATS | O/U | ORtg | DRtg | Pace | Key Injury |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Knicks | 53-29 | N/A | 42-37 | 35-45 | 118.7 | 112.3 | 97.7 | Mitchell Robinson (Probable, hand) |
| San Antonio Spurs | 62-20 | N/A | 45-33 | 33-46 | 118.7 | 110.4 | 100.7 | David Jones-Garcia (Out, ankle) |
Team Recaps
New York Knicks
New York’s profile is built for playoff scoring environments: a top-4 offensive rating (118.7) without needing a track meet (97.7 pace, #25). That pace number matters, because it shrinks possessions and makes it harder for a favorite to separate.
The Knicks also bring real shot-making to this matchup (37.3% from three, #4) while keeping their mistakes in check (13.6 turnovers, #6). If Mitchell Robinson is truly available, it helps stabilize rim protection and defensive rebounding minutes against San Antonio’s size.
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio has the deeper “two-way bully” resume: top-3 in both offensive rating (118.7) and defensive rating (110.4), plus a faster pace than New York (100.7, #12) that can pressure opponents into playing earlier in the clock.
The Spurs’ defensive playmaking is also more disruptive at the rim (5.5 blocks, #8), which is a practical way to turn good half-court possessions into empty trips. Offensively, they were top-3 in scoring (119.8 PPG) while staying relatively clean with the ball (13.5 turnovers, #4), so they do not need chaos to get points.
Matchup Keys
- Defense travels in the Finals. Spurs DRtg (110.4, #3) vs Knicks DRtg (112.3, #7) sets a clear “points are earned” baseline.
- Knicks pace is a built-in total dampener. New York’s 97.7 pace (#25) naturally pulls games toward half-court possessions.
- Rim deterrence vs shot quality. Spurs are top-10 in blocks (5.5), while the Knicks are near the bottom (3.9), a gap that can swing points at the basket.
- Three-point swing. Knicks hit 37.3% from three (#4) while Spurs are at 35.9% (#15). If New York gets clean looks again, it keeps the game inside the number.
- Turnover floor is low for both. Spurs (13.5, #4) and Knicks (13.6, #6) are both strong at avoiding giveaways, which often reduces “free points” that inflate totals.
Betting Trends
- Spurs are 32-8 at home.
- Knicks are 23-19 on the road.
- Spurs are 45-33 ATS overall.
- Knicks are 42-37 ATS overall.
- Spurs are 50-13 straight up as a favorite.
- Knicks are 4-11 straight up as an underdog.
- Spurs are 21-17 ATS at home.
- Knicks are 16-26 ATS on the road.
- Knicks have gone Under more often than Over this season (35-45 O/U).
- Spurs have also leaned Under (33-46 O/U).
Best Bet
Under 214.5 (-110)
Units: 2.0 / 5
This number is telling you to respect the defenses, and the season-long profiles back it up: both teams rate top-7 in defensive rating, and New York’s pace ranks bottom-6, which cuts down the possession count. In a game where both sides protect the ball well, you often lose the “cheap” transition points that make an Over feel easy. If the Spurs respond with more physicality and New York stays content to grind, 214.5 is still a reachable Under even if the shooting is decent.
Predicted Score
Spurs 108, Knicks 102 (Total: 210)
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