The Hawks return home up 2-1 in the series after taking Game 3 in Atlanta 109-108 on Thursday, April 23. New York has had the higher season-long efficiency profile, but Atlanta’s pace and shot-making has kept every possession feeling like it matters.
The market is still pricing this like a coin-flip, with New York a small road favorite and the total sitting in a playoff-style range. **Odds from Bookmaker as of 8:16 a.m. ET on April 24, 2026.**
Odds & Game Info
| Item | New York Knicks | Atlanta Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| Game time (ET) | 6:00 p.m. ET | |
| Arena | State Farm Arena (Atlanta) | |
| Spread | -1.5 (-106) | +1.5 (-114) |
| Moneyline | -126 | +108 |
| Total | 214.5 (O -106 / U -114) | |
Team Overview
| Team | Record (Home/Road) | Last 10 | ATS | O/U | ORtg | DRtg | Pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Knicks | 53-29 (30-10 / 23-19) | 7-3 | 41-39-1 | 37-44 | 119.8 | 113.3 | 96.80 |
| Atlanta Hawks | 46-36 (24-17 / 22-19) | 6-4 | 44-37 | 40-41 | 116.1 | 113.7 | 101.65 |
Team Recaps
New York Knicks
New York’s scoring profile is built on clean looks: **117.9 points per game**, **47.8% from the field**, and **37.3% from three**. That shooting base matters in a tight-pointspread road game because it raises their “no-drought” floor when half-court possessions drag late. Defensively, the Knicks have been the steadier side all year, allowing **111.5 points per game** and holding opponents to **46.0% FG**.
The rebounding numbers also tilt their way in this matchup: New York averages **46.2 rebounds per game**, while allowing only **41.0 rebounds per game** on the other end. If they’re going to flip this series on the road, second-chance control is one of the most direct levers they can pull without changing scheme.
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta plays faster and it shows up in the efficiency context: the Hawks’ **101.65 pace** is meaningfully higher than New York’s, and their offense produces **119.9 points per game** with **37.1% three-point shooting**. When the Hawks are winning this series, they’re making New York defend earlier in the clock and forcing the Knicks to match shot volume.
The soft spot is defense. Atlanta allows **117.5 points per game** and opponents shoot **47.4%** against them, which is exactly why the market is hesitant to make the Hawks favorites even at home. The path is more about outscoring runs than preventing them, so end-game execution and free possessions (rebounds, low turnovers) carry extra weight.
Matchup Keys
- Tempo tug-of-war: Hawks pace (101.65) vs. Knicks pace (96.80). If Atlanta dictates speed, 214.5 can get fragile.
- Knicks shooting vs. Hawks shot defense: New York is at 37.3% from three; Atlanta allows 47.4% overall FG.
- Hawks perimeter creation vs. Knicks resistance: Atlanta is a top-5 scoring offense by points per game (119.9); New York allows just 111.5 per game.
- Rebounding pressure: Knicks +2.1 RPG edge (46.2 vs. 44.1) and Atlanta allows 45.8 RPG, giving New York a clean way to steal extra possessions.
Betting Trends
- Atlanta is 44-37 ATS on the season.
- New York is 41-39-1 ATS on the season.
- New York games have leaned under: 37-44 to the over.
- Atlanta is close to neutral on totals: 40-41 to the over.
- In this series (3 games), totals are 2 unders, 1 over based on posted totals (217.5, 217.5, 214.5).
- The last two games in the series were decided by 1 point each (107-106, 109-108), which makes +points valuable in a low total.
- Knicks last 10: 7-3 straight up with a 4-6 split to the over/under in those listed results.
- Hawks last 10: 6-4 straight up with a 4-6 split to the over/under in those listed results.
Best Bet
Atlanta Hawks +1.5 (-114) for 3 units.
This series has been priced tight, and it’s played even tighter: two of the three games have landed on the last possession. With the total sitting at 214.5, every point is amplified, and getting the hook at home matters. Atlanta also has the pace lever, and if the Hawks win the possession battle even slightly, the +1.5 has multiple cover paths even in another one-score finish.
Predicted Score
Hawks 108, Knicks 106
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