Home»NBA»Boston Celtics vs San Antonio Spurs Pick & Prediction - March 10, 2026

Boston Celtics vs San Antonio Spurs Pick & Prediction – March 10, 2026

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Senior Content Editor, Updated March 10, 2026
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Boston heads to San Antonio with both teams rolling, but they’ve been getting there in different ways. The Celtics have played at a slow tempo all year and have been a consistent “under” team, while the Spurs push pace more often and have been dominant at home.

San Antonio is currently priced as a small favorite at home: Spurs -3 (-112) with Boston +3 (-108). The moneyline leans Spurs (-148), and the total is 222.5 with the Under juiced (-114). Odds as of 8:30 a.m. ET on March 10, 2026.

Odds & Game Info

Tip-off is set for Tuesday night at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio.

MarketCelticsSpurs
Spread+3.0 (-108)-3.0 (-112)
Moneyline+126-148
TotalOver 222.5 (-106)Under 222.5 (-114)

Team Overview

This table summarizes where both teams stand entering March 10.

TeamRecordLast 10ATSO/UORtgDRtgPaceKey Injury
Boston Celtics43-21 (22-11 away)8-238-26-022-42120.5112.594.7Nikola Vučević (out, finger); Payton Pritchard (day-to-day, neck)
San Antonio Spurs47-17 (24-6 home)9-135-27-226-38118.2111.2100.1Harrison Barnes (out, ankle); Mason Plumlee (day-to-day, reconditioning); David Jones Garcia (out for season, ankle)

Team Recaps

Boston Celtics

Boston’s profile is clear: elite efficiency, slow pace. Their 94.7 pace is built to shrink possessions, and it’s a big reason they’ve gone Under in 42 of 64 games with a posted total. That low-tempo approach has also shown up recently, with Boston going 2-8 to the Over in its last 10.

From a betting standpoint, the Celtics have been a strong ATS team (38-26 ATS). They’ve also been live as an underdog, winning 9 of 17 outright when priced plus money this season. The injury note that matters most for tonight’s handicap is the frontcourt: Vučević is out, while Pritchard is listed day-to-day.

San Antonio Spurs

San Antonio has been one of the league’s best home teams (24-6) and comes in on an eight-game home winning streak. Their pace (100.1) is notably faster than Boston’s, but they’re still an Under-leaning team overall (38 Unders in 64 lined games).

The Spurs have also been reliable against the number (35-27-2 ATS) and have taken care of business when favored, winning 35 of 46 games outright as the chalk. Injury-wise, Barnes is out and Plumlee is day-to-day, which can tighten the forward/center rotation behind the starters.

Matchup Keys

  • Tempo control: Boston plays at 94.7 pace vs San Antonio at 100.1. If the Celtics dictate possessions, 222.5 can be rich.
  • Home-floor edge: Spurs are 24-6 at home, while Boston is 22-11 away. San Antonio has also won eight straight at Frost Bank Center.
  • Three-point output: Boston is hitting 36.3% from three and making 15.4 threes per game; San Antonio is at 35.6% and 13.4 made threes. Hot shooting is the most direct path to an Over.
  • Injury-driven rotation pressure: Boston missing Vučević changes their big rotation, while San Antonio’s Barnes absence removes a stabilizing forward minutes-eater.
  • Spurs are 47-17 overall and 24-6 at home.
  • Celtics are 43-21 overall and 22-11 on the road.
  • Spurs are 35-27-2 ATS this season.
  • Celtics are 38-26-0 ATS this season.
  • Spurs games have gone Over in 26 of 64 (38 Unders).
  • Celtics games have gone Over in 22 of 64 (42 Unders).
  • Celtics are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games.
  • Celtics have gone 2-8 to the Over in their last 10 games.
  • Spurs are 9-1 in their last 10 games.
  • Spurs have won 35 of 46 games outright as favorites this season.

Best Bet

Under 222.5 (-114) (3 units)

Boston’s pace (94.7) is the strongest anchor on the board, and their season-long total results back it up (42 Unders in 64 lined games). San Antonio plays faster, but they’ve still landed Under more often than not as well (38 Unders in 64). With Boston also missing Vučević, it’s easier to see them leaning into half-court possessions and defense-first stretches on the road after travel.

Predicted Score

Spurs 112, Celtics 107

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