The New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles meet on August 19, 2026 at Camden Yards with a pitching matchup that puts Will Warren opposite Chris Bassitt. New York comes in priced as a modest road favorite at -122, with Baltimore at +112, while the market is asking you to choose between the Yankees -1.5 (+130) or Orioles +1.5 (-156) on the run line and a 9.5 total shaded to the under at -122. With the Yankees owning one of the league’s best overall pitching profiles and the Orioles trying to steady the middle innings behind Bassitt, this sets up as another game where sequencing and bullpen execution could decide it late.
New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Game Info
| Matchup | New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles |
| Date | August 19, 2026 |
| Time | 06:36 PM ET |
| Location | Oriole Park at Camden Yards (Baltimore, MD) |
| How to Watch | MLB Network (national), MASN (Orioles), Amazon Prime Video (Yankees), MLB.TV |
New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Full Odds
| Market | New York Yankees | Baltimore Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -122 | +112 |
| Run Line | -1.5 (+130) | +1.5 (-156) |
| Total | Over 9.5 (+100) | Under 9.5 (-122) |
New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Team Stats
| Team | Record | Runs | HR | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | Team ERA | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees | 70-55 | 554 | 172 | .229 | .308 | .407 | .715 | 3.24 | 1.18 |
| Baltimore Orioles | 61-65 | 570 | 152 | .237 | .320 | .398 | .718 | 4.23 | 1.35 |
New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats
| Pitcher | Hand | W-L | IP | ERA | WHIP | SO/BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Warren (NYY) | RHP | 8-6 | 118.0 | 4.42 | 1.41 | 2.85 |
| Chris Bassitt (BAL) | RHP | 4-4 | 61.2 | 5.11 | 1.62 | 1.60 |
New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Recent Form and Pitching Notes
New York Yankees (70-55): The Yankees opened this series with a 3-1 win on August 18 in Baltimore. Carlos Rodón worked 4.0 innings and allowed 1 run, then New York pieced together five relief appearances behind him (including a clean ninth to close it), limiting Baltimore to 1 run on 4 hits overall. Offensively, Trent Grisham supplied the damage with a solo homer and a two-run single that flipped the game in the seventh.
Baltimore Orioles (61-65): The Orioles dropped that same 3-1 decision on August 18 despite a strong start from Shane Baz (6.1 IP, 3 ER, 10 K). Baltimore’s bullpen covered the final 2.2 innings, and the critical swing sequence came in the seventh when inherited runners scored during the bridge to the late innings. At the plate, Coby Mayo’s solo homer was the lone scoring play, and Baltimore finished 0-for-6 with runners in scoring position.
New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Breakdown
The cleanest separator in this matchup is the overall run-prevention profile. New York’s staff has played to a top-tier ERA and WHIP over a large sample, and it showed again Tuesday when they navigated the final five innings with multiple arms and kept the game from turning into a crooked-number night.
For Baltimore, the path is narrower: Bassitt needs to keep traffic to a minimum early and avoid putting his bullpen into high-leverage bridges by the fifth. The Orioles’ offense has been serviceable on the season, but Tuesday was a reminder that when the extra-base damage isn’t followed by situational hitting, even a quality start can get wasted.
From a pricing standpoint, the Yankees at -122 isn’t a runaway bargain, but it reflects the more stable pitching baseline and the ability to win close games without needing a big offensive night. The 9.5 total is also doing some work here: it’s a number that assumes either a livelier run environment or multiple pitching cracks, and New York’s season-long tendency toward lower-scoring finals makes the under worth a long look.
New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Best Bet
Under 9.5 (-122) (3 out of 5 units)
Even with Warren and Bassitt carrying mid-rotation ERAs, the Yankees’ season-long run prevention and the way this series just opened (3-1, limited sustained rallies) point to a game that can stay under if the first five innings don’t spiral. With the under already shaded, it’s not a “cheap” bet, but the profile fits another tight AL East game where one big inning is more likely than steady scoring throughout.
Predicted Score
Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final score of New York Yankees 5, Baltimore Orioles 3.