Milwaukee heads into Tuesday, April 7, 2026 playing like a team that can win in multiple ways, while Boston is still searching for clean innings and consistent offense as this series continues at Fenway Park. The pitching matchup is the headline: Jacob Misiorowski brings elite swing-and-miss stuff for the Brewers, and Garrett Crochet gets the ball for the Red Sox with Boston priced as a -158 home favorite, laying -1.5 at plus money, with a tight 7.0 total shaded slightly to the under.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Boston Red Sox Game Info
| Matchup | Milwaukee Brewers @ Boston Red Sox |
| Date | April 07, 2026 |
| Time | 06:46PM ET |
| Location | Fenway Park (Boston, MA) |
| How to Watch | NESN, Brewers.TV |
Milwaukee Brewers vs Boston Red Sox Odds
| Market | Milwaukee Brewers | Boston Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +134 | -158 |
| Run Line | +1.5 (-184) | -1.5 (+152) |
| Total (7.0) | Over (-104) | Under (-118) |
Milwaukee Brewers vs Boston Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats
| Pitcher | Hand | 2026 W-L | 2026 ERA | IP | H | ER | HR | BB | K | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) | RHP | 1-0 | 2.45 | 11.0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 1.00 |
| Garrett Crochet (BOS) | LHP | 1-1 | 3.27 | 11.0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 1.00 |
Milwaukee Brewers vs Boston Red Sox Recent Form and Pitching Notes
Milwaukee Brewers (8-2): The Brewers took the series opener on Monday, April 6 with an 8-6 win at Fenway. Brandon Woodruff went 5.2 innings and allowed 3 earned runs, and Milwaukee’s bullpen covered the final 3.1 innings with Aaron Ashby (1.1 IP), Grant Anderson (1.0 IP), and Angel Zerpa (1.0 IP) closing it out despite a late solo homer. Offensively, Christian Yelich went 3-for-4 with an RBI, Garrett Mitchell drove in two, and Milwaukee repeatedly pressured Boston with traffic (8 walks, 11 left on base).
Boston Red Sox (2-8): Boston’s Monday loss was another game where the margin was thin, but the path was messy. Brayan Bello lasted 3.1 innings and allowed 3 earned runs (4 total) with four walks, forcing a long bridge: Danny Coulombe (0.2 IP), Jovani Morán (3.0 IP), Garrett Whitlock (1.0 IP), and Ryan Watson (1.0 IP). At the plate, Willson Contreras did real damage (3-for-3 with a homer and two RBIs), while Trevor Story also drove in two, but Boston went just 2-for-12 with runners in scoring position.
Pitching matchup notes: Misiorowski’s two-start sample has been loud (18 strikeouts in 11.0 innings), and his most recent outing was a 6.0-inning start vs. Tampa Bay on April 1 (2 earned runs, 7 strikeouts). Crochet has 15 strikeouts through 11.0 innings, but his most recent start on April 1 at Houston was a grind (5.0 IP, 4 ER, 7 K) after opening the season with 6.0 scoreless innings at Cincinnati on March 26.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
- Boston Red Sox: 2 wins in 8 games when listed as the moneyline favorite this season.
- Boston Red Sox: 2-8 against the spread this season.
- Boston Red Sox: Over is 6-4 this season.
- Milwaukee Brewers: 8-2 against the spread this season.
- Milwaukee Brewers: Over is 7-3 this season.
- Milwaukee Brewers: Covered the spread in both Jacob Misiorowski starts this season.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Boston Red Sox Breakdown
This number largely asks you to buy into Boston’s top-end pitching edge at home, but the early-season game state is pointing the other direction: Milwaukee is playing cleaner baseball and has shown it can manufacture runs without needing the long ball. They also have a lineup profile that can stress innings with patient at-bats, which matters against a Red Sox staff that has already needed extended bullpen coverage in this series.
The key question is whether Crochet can dictate the game the way an ace should at Fenway: get ahead early, keep the ball off the barrel, and hand off a lead without asking the middle innings to cover too much. Misiorowski’s upside is obvious (strikeouts can erase bad luck), but Fenway punishes missed locations, and his walk total is something Boston can try to turn into free baserunners if it stays disciplined.
From a pricing perspective, laying -158 with a 2-8 team is a tough sell unless you strongly expect a Crochet-driven start-to-finish advantage. Milwaukee at plus money is the side that better matches current form, and it also gives you a path where the Brewers can win even if this turns into a lower-scoring, one- or two-swing game late.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Boston Red Sox BEST BET
Brewers Moneyline +134 (2 out of 5 units)
Milwaukee’s current level is simply steadier, and Misiorowski’s strikeout ceiling gives the Brewers a credible way to control innings even in a tough park. With Boston still leaning heavily on multi-inning bullpen coverage, the plus-money price on the more consistent team is the better risk-reward.
Predicted Score
Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final score of Milwaukee Brewers 4, Boston Red Sox 3.