The Cincinnati Reds head to American Family Field to open a Monday night divisional set with the Milwaukee Brewers on June 29, 2026, and both clubs will hand the ball to left-handers in Nick Lodolo vs. Robert Gasser. Milwaukee is priced as the home favorite on the moneyline (-152) with the run line sitting at Brewers -1.5 (+132), while Cincinnati returns +1.5 (-160) and the total is 8.5 (Over -120 / Under -102) in a matchup that pits the Brewers’ steadier run prevention against a Reds staff that’s been living on the edge lately, odds via Bookmaker Sportsbook
Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Game Info
| Matchup | Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers |
| Date | June 29, 2026 |
| Time | 07:41 PM ET |
| Location | American Family Field (Milwaukee, WI) |
| How to Watch | Regional broadcasts: BREW, CINR; Streaming: MLB.TV (out-of-market, blackout restrictions may apply) |
Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Odds
| Cincinnati Reds | Milwaukee Brewers | |
| Moneyline | +128 | -152 |
| Run Line | +1.5 (-160) | -1.5 (+132) |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-120) | Under 8.5 (-102) |
Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Team Stats
| Cincinnati Reds | Milwaukee Brewers | |
| Record | 39-43 | 50-31 |
| Runs | 350 | 418 |
| Hits | 625 | 697 |
| Home Runs | 100 | 74 |
| AVG / OBP / SLG | .227 / .310 / .389 | .253 / .337 / .393 |
| Team ERA | 4.57 | 3.41 |
| Strikeouts / Walks | 663 / 369 | 800 / 277 |
Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats
| Nick Lodolo (CIN) | Robert Gasser (MIL) | |
| Hand | LHP | LHP |
| W-L | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| ERA / WHIP | 5.59 / 1.52 | 4.50 / 1.27 |
| IP | 46.2 | 30.0 |
| SO / BB | 38 / 18 | 31 / 12 |
| H / HR Allowed | 53 / 8 | 26 / 6 |
Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Recent Form and Pitching Notes
Cincinnati (39-43) comes in off a 9-4 loss to Pittsburgh on June 28. Starter Brady Singer was tagged for 5 runs on 9 hits in 4 1/3 innings, and Cincinnati’s bullpen had to cover the rest with Julian Garcia (1 1/3), Zach McCambley (1/3), Brock Burke (1 1/3), and Pierce Johnson (2/3), with Johnson allowing 4 runs in a short outing. Offensively, the Reds clawed back to tie it at 4-4 behind a two-run single from JJ Bleday, an RBI double from Tyler Stephenson, and an Edwin Arroyo RBI single, but the late damage swung the game.
On the mound, Lodolo returns to face Milwaukee after his most recent start came against these Brewers on June 23, when he threw 4.0 scoreless innings (2 hits, 1 walk, 6 strikeouts) before exiting after being hit by a comebacker. That shorter outing matters here: Cincinnati may need to be prepared for a quicker hook and an earlier bridge to the middle innings if Lodolo isn’t fully stretched out.
Milwaukee (50-31) last played June 28, dropping a 4-3 extra-inning decision to the Cubs. Brandon Woodruff was excellent (5 2/3 scoreless, 1 hit allowed, 2 walks, 6 strikeouts), but the bullpen workload stacked up in a 10-inning game: Aaron Ashby worked 2/3 (allowing 1 run), Abner Uribe tossed 1 2/3, Trevor Megill handled the ninth (1.0), and Joel Kuhnel took the loss in the 10th after allowing 3 runs (2 earned). At the plate, Gary Sánchez homered and Christian Yelich delivered a two-hit game with an RBI, but Milwaukee also left chances on the table (2-for-12 with runners in scoring position).
Gasser’s most recent work featured a more traditional starter’s load: on June 21 at Atlanta, he completed 6 innings with 7 strikeouts while allowing 2 earned runs, and Milwaukee was able to finish that win with just one additional arm covering the final three innings. If Gasser is around the zone early, the Brewers can keep their leverage relievers aligned more cleanly than they could on Sunday.
Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
- Cincinnati Reds totals: 49 Overs, 32 Unders, 1 Push (2026)
- Milwaukee Brewers totals: 37 Overs, 42 Unders, 2 Pushes (2026)
- Cincinnati Reds run line record: 45-37 (2026)
- Milwaukee Brewers run line record: 45-36 (2026)
Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Breakdown
This game sets up as a contrast between Milwaukee’s higher-floor profile and Cincinnati’s volatility. The Brewers have been the more consistent offense on the season (418 runs to the Reds’ 350) while also carrying a sizable edge in team ERA (3.41 vs. 4.57), which is a big reason the market is comfortable pricing them as a mid-range home favorite.
The pitching matchup itself is where this can get interesting. Gasser’s overall numbers are steadier (1.27 WHIP), and his recent six-inning outing suggests he can get Milwaukee into the middle frames without immediately testing the bullpen. Lodolo, meanwhile, has the bigger swing-and-miss potential but also the shakier run prevention so far (5.59 ERA, 1.52 WHIP), and his last start ending after four innings adds some uncertainty around workload and pitch efficiency.
Game flow-wise, Milwaukee’s path is fairly straightforward: put early pressure on Lodolo and try to force Cincinnati into the softer part of its pitching plan. For the Reds to flip the script, they likely need Lodolo to miss bats at the top of the zone and keep the ball in the park early, then cash in on their own power (100 team homers) before Milwaukee can fully leverage the late innings.
Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Best Bet
Over 8.5 (-120) (2 out of 5 units)
Even with Milwaukee’s stronger season-long run prevention, this matchup has multiple ways to get to nine runs: the Brewers’ ability to create traffic, Lodolo’s uneven results and potential workload cap, and a Reds bullpen that just had to piece together significant innings on Sunday. It’s not a must-bet at this price, but the game environment supports a measured lean to the over.
Predicted Score
Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final score of Cincinnati Reds 4, Milwaukee Brewers 5.