The Boston Red Sox visit the Toronto Blue Jays on Monday, August 10, 2026, with Sonny Gray (14-2, 2.78 ERA) drawing Jameson Taillon (2-6, 5.96) in a matchup that tilts heavily toward Boston’s starting pitching. The market agrees, pricing Boston at -166 on the moneyline while also offering the Red Sox -1.5 at even money, and setting a total of 8.5 with the under juiced at -122 in a spot where Toronto’s recent bullpen workload could matter late, odds via Bookmaker Sportsbook.
Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Game Info
| Matchup | Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays |
| Date | August 10, 2026 |
| Time | 7:07 PM ET |
| Location | Rogers Centre (Toronto, Ontario) |
| How to Watch | NESN, Sportsnet, MLB.TV |
Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Full Odds
| Market | Boston Red Sox | Toronto Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -166 | +152 |
| Run Line | -1.5 (+100) | +1.5 (-120) |
| Total (8.5) | Over +100 | Under -122 |
Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Team Stats
| Team | Record | Split | Over/Under Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox | 64-53 | 35-22 Away | 42-46-4 |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 56-63 | 28-31 Home | 53-49-3 |
Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray (BOS) | 14-2 | 2.78 | 1.15 | 119.2 | 106 | 106 | 32 | 12 |
| Jameson Taillon (TOR) | 2-6 | 5.96 | 1.39 | 80.0 | 82 | 72 | 29 | 26 |
Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Recent Form and Pitching Notes
Boston (64-53) comes in off a 4-3 home loss to the Athletics on August 9. Boston used an opener in Erik Miller (1.0 IP, 1 R, 0 ER) before turning to Brayan Bello as the bulk arm (4.0 IP, 1 R, 1 ER), then pieced together the late innings with four additional relievers; Aroldis Chapman (1.0 IP, 1 R, 1 ER) took the loss. Offensively, Eli White went 3-for-4 with an RBI, while the Red Sox left little margin by going 1-for-8 with runners in scoring position.
Toronto (56-63) returns home after a 12-inning, 7-6 loss at Philadelphia on August 9. Shane Bieber (5.2 IP, 5 R, 5 ER) absorbed the damage up front, and the Blue Jays then had to cover 5.2 innings with six relievers in an extra-inning game, including Brett Fisher for 2.0 innings; Lázaro Estrada (0.1 IP) was tagged for the late decision. Toronto’s offense showed late fight, tying the game with a three-run eighth that included a two-run single from Andrés Giménez, but couldn’t close it out after playing deep into the bullpen.
Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
- Boston Red Sox are 35-22 on the road this season.
- Toronto Blue Jays are 28-31 at home this season.
- Boston Red Sox have won five straight road games entering August 10.
- Toronto Blue Jays lead the season series 6-3.
- Boston Red Sox have an over/under record of 42-46-4 this season.
- Toronto Blue Jays have an over/under record of 53-49-3 this season.
Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Breakdown
This game starts with a clear pitching contrast. Gray has paired elite run prevention (2.78 ERA) with efficient traffic control (1.15 WHIP) across 119.2 innings, giving Boston a dependable path to six-plus innings without constant leverage. That matters even more against a Toronto lineup that can string together quality at-bats, but is far less comfortable when it’s forced to beat premium strike-throwing without free baserunners.
On the other side, Taillon’s profile is the kind Boston can punish with one or two mistakes: 26 homers allowed in 80.0 innings is a red flag in a park where fly balls can turn quickly. If the Red Sox can get a lead early, Toronto’s bullpen is coming off an extra-inning game that required six relievers behind Bieber, which raises the odds of middle-inning matchup compromises or shorter leashes than usual.
The total is the interesting counterweight: Gray can keep Toronto’s scoring muted, but Boston’s upside hinges on whether Taillon’s home-run problem shows up again. If it does, Boston has the cleanest route to a multi-run win rather than needing to sweat a one-run finish.
Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Best Bet
Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+100) (2 out of 5 units)
Gray gives Boston a high floor, and the matchup against Taillon’s season-long home run issues creates a sharper path to separation than the moneyline price suggests. With Toronto also coming off a 12-inning game that stretched its bullpen, Boston is better positioned to turn an early edge into a comfortable late-game script.
Predicted Score
Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final score of Boston Red Sox 5, Toronto Blue Jays 3.