Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Odds, Pick, Prediction 10/17/22

It all comes down to one deciding game of this interesting ALDS, but only one team can progress to the ALCS when the rivals meet on Monday, October 17, and here you can get the best Guardians vs. Yankees betting pick and odds.

The Yankees are -150 moneyline favorites on Bovada Sportsbook when New York welcomes Cleveland in Game 5 of the ALDS at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won five of six regular-season H2H matchups, while the current series is tied at 2-2.

Gerrit Cole was too much for the Guardians to handle

The Cleveland Guardians had a chance to beat the New York Yankees in Game 4 of the ALDS and reach the AL Championship Series for the first time since 2016. However, they were limited by the Yankees’ ace Gerrit Cole, who kept the Guardians to two runs in a 4-2 New York victory as the visitors forced Game 5.

Since the opening inning, it was evident that the Yankees want to take control and they did it with three quick runs in the first two innings. Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor restored hope to Cleveland in the 3rd and 4th, but the Guardians didn’t do much offensively after that. Cal Quantrill surrendered three runs on four hits with three strikeouts and a walk over 5.0 innings of work.

Aaron Civale (5-6) is getting the first-ever postseason start of his career as he takes the mound for the Guardians in Game 5 of this ALDS against the Yankees on Monday. The 27-year-old right-hander had 20 starts this year and carries an unimpressive 4.92 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, and 98/22 K/BB ratio in 97.0 innings.

Cole and the Yankees survived one more game

The New York Yankees showed their quality in Game 4 of this ALDS in the situation in which they played with their back up against the wall. They delivered a 4-2 road victory against the Cleveland Guardians, avoided an upset, and now have an opportunity to beat Cleveland in the Bronx and progress to the ALCS, where everyone expects them to be, and fight against Houston for the AL title.

Gerrit Cole did surrender a couple of runs in this win, but he was excellent across 7.0 innings, allowing six hits while fanning eight batters with only one walk. Wandy Peralta was credited with a save. On offense, Anthony Rizzo contributed with an RBI single in the first inning, after which Harrison Bader blasted his third home run of this series, and it was a two-run homer. The Yankees concluded the scoring in the 6th through Giancarlo Stanton’s sac fly.

Jameson Taillon (14-5) is named a starter for the Yankees in Game 5 of this ALDS against Cleveland on Monday. The 30-year-old right-hander started 32 games this campaign and has a 3.91 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, and 151/32 K/BB ratio over 177.1 innings.

Trends:

Cleveland:

•            2-8 in the last ten Divisional Playoff games

•            4-10 in the last 14 playoff games

•            1-6 in the last seven playoff road games

New York:

•            13-5 in the last 18 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5

•            5-2 in the last seven when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game

Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Pick

This matchup doesn’t suit Aaron Civale, who struggled in his two starts against the Yankees this year, losing both with a criminal 10.00 ERA in 9.0 innings. The experience of playing in the postseason is also not on his side, as this will be his first-ever playoff appearance. Jameson Taillon, on the other hand, is also inexperienced when it comes to playoff pitching, and that could be seen in Game 2 when he came in as a closer and surrendered a couple of runs without even recording one out in a loss. Still, I am giving him an advantage as a starter against Civale in this one. He did play very well in a lone start against the Guardians this year, recording a win with an excellent 1.80 ERA over 5.0 innings.

Pick: Take the Yankees to win (-150)

The Total

Although Taillon was great against Cleveland in that start, his recent numbers are not particularly good. Taillon allowed at least two runs in six of his last seven starts, while that was the case in each of Civale’s previous five starts. We can expect to see some good batting from both teams here, even though three of four games of this series were low-scoring. Both starters will be nervous, so I think we will have at least eight runs in total. Over is 4-0 in Civale’s previous four starts, while Over is 7-3 in the Yankees’ last ten vs. American League Central opponents.

Pick: Go Over 7.5 runs (-110)

It all comes down to one deciding game of this interesting ALDS, but only one team can progress to the ALCS when the rivals meet on Monday, October 17, and here you can get the best Guardians vs. Yankees betting pick and odds.

The Yankees are -150 moneyline favorites on Bovada Sportsbook when New York welcomes Cleveland in Game 5 of the ALDS at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won five of six regular-season H2H matchups, while the current series is tied at 2-2.

Gerrit Cole was too much for the Guardians to handle

The Cleveland Guardians had a chance to beat the New York Yankees in Game 4 of the ALDS and reach the AL Championship Series for the first time since 2016. However, they were limited by the Yankees’ ace Gerrit Cole, who kept the Guardians to two runs in a 4-2 New York victory as the visitors forced Game 5.

Since the opening inning, it was evident that the Yankees want to take control and they did it with three quick runs in the first two innings. Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor restored hope to Cleveland in the 3rd and 4th, but the Guardians didn’t do much offensively after that. Cal Quantrill surrendered three runs on four hits with three strikeouts and a walk over 5.0 innings of work.

Aaron Civale (5-6) is getting the first-ever postseason start of his career as he takes the mound for the Guardians in Game 5 of this ALDS against the Yankees on Monday. The 27-year-old right-hander had 20 starts this year and carries an unimpressive 4.92 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, and 98/22 K/BB ratio in 97.0 innings.

Cole and the Yankees survived one more game

The New York Yankees showed their quality in Game 4 of this ALDS in the situation in which they played with their back up against the wall. They delivered a 4-2 road victory against the Cleveland Guardians, avoided an upset, and now have an opportunity to beat Cleveland in the Bronx and progress to the ALCS, where everyone expects them to be, and fight against Houston for the AL title.

Gerrit Cole did surrender a couple of runs in this win, but he was excellent across 7.0 innings, allowing six hits while fanning eight batters with only one walk. Wandy Peralta was credited with a save. On offense, Anthony Rizzo contributed with an RBI single in the first inning, after which Harrison Bader blasted his third home run of this series, and it was a two-run homer. The Yankees concluded the scoring in the 6th through Giancarlo Stanton’s sac fly.

Jameson Taillon (14-5) is named a starter for the Yankees in Game 5 of this ALDS against Cleveland on Monday. The 30-year-old right-hander started 32 games this campaign and has a 3.91 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, and 151/32 K/BB ratio over 177.1 innings.

Trends:

Cleveland:

•            2-8 in the last ten Divisional Playoff games

•            4-10 in the last 14 playoff games

•            1-6 in the last seven playoff road games

New York:

•            13-5 in the last 18 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5

•            5-2 in the last seven when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game

Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Pick

This matchup doesn’t suit Aaron Civale, who struggled in his two starts against the Yankees this year, losing both with a criminal 10.00 ERA in 9.0 innings. The experience of playing in the postseason is also not on his side, as this will be his first-ever playoff appearance. Jameson Taillon, on the other hand, is also inexperienced when it comes to playoff pitching, and that could be seen in Game 2 when he came in as a closer and surrendered a couple of runs without even recording one out in a loss. Still, I am giving him an advantage as a starter against Civale in this one. He did play very well in a lone start against the Guardians this year, recording a win with an excellent 1.80 ERA over 5.0 innings.

Pick: Take the Yankees to win (-150)

The Total

Although Taillon was great against Cleveland in that start, his recent numbers are not particularly good. Taillon allowed at least two runs in six of his last seven starts, while that was the case in each of Civale’s previous five starts. We can expect to see some good batting from both teams here, even though three of four games of this series were low-scoring. Both starters will be nervous, so I think we will have at least eight runs in total. Over is 4-0 in Civale’s previous four starts, while Over is 7-3 in the Yankees’ last ten vs. American League Central opponents.

Pick: Go Over 7.5 runs (-110)