Saint Joseph’s heads to Fort Collins to face Colorado State on Wednesday, March 18, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET, with the Hawks listed as the underdog against a Rams team that has been strong at home.
Colorado State finished 7th in the Mountain West (21-12), while Saint Joseph’s placed 3rd in the Atlantic 10 (22-11), so this is a solid cross-conference postseason profile matchup.
Odds
Odds are from BetOnline. Odds as of 7:50 PM ET on March 16, 2026.
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Colorado State -5.5 (-120) Saint Joseph’s +5.5 (-102) | Colorado State -225 Saint Joseph’s +184 | Over 144.5 (-110) Under 144.5 (-110) |
Team Snapshot
This table summarizes current form, market results, and efficiency profile.
| Team | Record | Last 10 | ATS | Off Eff | Def Eff | Tempo | Key Injury Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Joseph’s | 22-11 (Away: 6-7) | 7-3 | 18-13-0 | 106.9 ORtg | 101.6 DRtg | 69.7 poss/40 | Will Lange (G) questionable; Owen Verna (G) questionable; Steven Solano (C) questionable |
| Colorado State | 21-12 (Home: 12-5) | 8-2 | 18-14-0 | 119.1 ORtg | 110.7 DRtg | 63.9 poss/40 | No injuries listed |
Recent Form & Statistical Edge
Saint Joseph’s offense vs Colorado State defense
Saint Joseph’s comes in playing its best ball lately (7-3 last 10, and 7-3 ATS), but it has been a consistent Under team (11-20 on totals; 3-7 to the Under in the last 10). The biggest scoring concern is perimeter efficiency: the Hawks are at 30.8% from three while still taking 26.8 threes per game, and Colorado State’s defense has held opponents to 33.9% from three. If the outside shots do not fall, Saint Joe’s needs to win the free-throw and offensive-rebounding layers to keep pace.
Colorado State offense vs Saint Joseph’s defense
Colorado State is 8-2 in its last 10, but only 6-4 ATS in that span, with a mix of close games and a couple of non-covers in wins. The Rams’ clearest edge is shot-making from deep: 39.1% from three on the season, a major advantage over a Saint Joseph’s defense that has allowed 32.7% from three. Colorado State also plays slower (63.9 poss/40), which can shorten the game and make efficiency swings (turnovers, second-chance points) matter more than raw pace.
Matchup Keys
- 3-point gap: Colorado State is 39.1% from three vs Saint Joseph’s 30.8%, and that’s the most obvious separation point in this matchup.
- Home and road splits: Colorado State is 12-5 at home, while Saint Joseph’s is 6-7 away, a meaningful backdrop with the Hawks traveling cross-country.
- Rebounding battle: Saint Joseph’s is +3.1 rebounds per game and Colorado State is +2.6, so this is strength-on-strength. Limiting second chances will be key for both.
- Turnover pressure in a slower game: Both teams sit in negative turnover margin territory, and Colorado State’s slower tempo can magnify a 2-3 turnover swing.
- Availability: Saint Joseph’s has multiple rotation pieces listed questionable (Lange, Verna, Solano). Colorado State has no injuries listed.
Best Bet
Colorado State -5.5 (-120). The Rams have the cleaner shot-quality profile here, led by elite 3-point efficiency (39.1%) against a Saint Joseph’s offense that has struggled to convert from deep (30.8%) despite high volume. Add in the home/road split (CSU 12-5 at home, SJU 6-7 away) and the Hawks’ injury report, and Colorado State has a strong path to cover if it plays from in front and forces Saint Joe’s into long, three-heavy possessions late. The -120 price is not ideal, but it’s still preferable to laying heavy juice on the moneyline.
Projected Score
Colorado State 75, Saint Joseph’s 70
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