Rider visits Iona on February 27, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET at Hynes Athletic Center in New Rochelle, New York.
Iona is listed as a 12.5-point home favorite with a total of 140.5 in a MAAC game that matters for Iona’s tournament positioning, while Rider sits at the bottom of the league and is already out of the conference tournament picture.
Odds
These are the current listed lines for Rider at Iona.
Odds as of 11:00 AM ET on February 27, 2026 from BetAnything.
| Market | Rider | Iona |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +12.5 (-112) | -12.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +610 | -950 |
| Total | Over 140.5 (-115) | Under 140.5 (-105) |
Team Snapshot
The table below summarizes form, market results, and high-level efficiency indicators.
| Team | Record (Home/Road) | Last 5 | ATS | Off Eff | Def Eff | Tempo | Key Injury Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rider | 4-23 (Home 4-9, Road 0-14) | 1-4 | 8-18-0 | 0.93 pts/poss | 1.22 pts/poss allowed | 67.0 pace | No injuries reported |
| Iona | 16-13 (Home 10-3, Road 5-8) | 2-3 | 17-12-0 | 1.00 pts/poss | 1.13 pts/poss allowed | 71.7 pace | Keshawn Williams (G) out, torn ACL (season) |
Recent Form & Statistical Edge
Rider Broncs
Rider’s profile is built around low efficiency offense and a defense that has struggled to get stops without sending opponents to high-percentage looks. On the season, the Broncs are at 66.3 points per game while allowing 80.1, and they are 0-14 on the road, which shows up in both shot quality and late-game execution.
The shooting math is the biggest issue in this matchup. Rider is at 39.7% from the field and 27.6% from three, and that creates long stretches where they need extra possessions (offensive rebounds, turnovers forced) just to keep pace. The one area that can travel is effort on the glass, and Rider’s 10.8 offensive rebounds per game is a legitimate way to generate second chances if Iona’s bigs do not finish defensive possessions.
From a betting-results standpoint, Rider has not been a reliable cover team (8-18 ATS) and has played more Unders than Overs (9-17 O/U). That aligns with the slow tempo indicator (67.0 pace) and the fact that scoring often stalls when they fall behind and have to create offense in the half court.
Iona Gaels
Iona enters with a clear home-court edge (10-3 at Hynes) and a much steadier perimeter attack. The Gaels are scoring 76.3 points per game with a 35.2% three-point percentage, and they win a lot of possessions by making opponents guard the arc and then cleaning up what misses there are.
Defensively, Iona’s strongest single datapoint for this game is three-point prevention. The Gaels are allowing 30.9% from three, and that pairs well against a Rider offense that is already below-average from deep. Iona’s defense has been more vulnerable on the glass (35.6 rebounds allowed per game), so the main way Rider hangs around is by extending possessions with offensive rebounds and turning those into quick put-backs or kick-out threes.
Iona has been a positive ATS team overall (17-12 ATS), but their totals results have leaned heavily Under (11-18 O/U). That Under skew matters here because Iona can cover numbers while still playing a game that stays controlled once they have a second-half lead, especially against an opponent that has struggled to score efficiently away from home.
Matchup Keys
- 3-point gap: Iona shoots 35.2% from three, and Rider allows 37.1% from three. Rider shoots 27.6% from three against an Iona defense allowing 30.9%.
- Road performance: Rider is 0-14 away, while Iona is 10-3 at home. If Iona builds an early margin, Rider has not shown consistent late-game shot-making on the road.
- Second-chance chances: Rider averages 10.8 offensive rebounds per game. Iona allows 35.6 total rebounds per game, so defensive rebounding is the main “keep it close” path for the underdog.
- Ball security and creation: Rider averages 10.5 assists per game, while Iona averages 15.0. If Iona’s passing creates clean catch-and-shoot threes, the spread becomes more realistic.
- Game script and total: Both teams are Under-leaning on the season (Rider 9-17 O/U, Iona 11-18 O/U), and a Rider offense at 66.3 points per game generally needs an above-average shooting night to push games into the mid-140s.
Best Bet
Best Bet: Under 140.5
Both teams’ season-long totals results point Under, and the matchup supports it: Rider’s offense is at 66.3 points per game with poor shooting splits (39.7% FG, 27.6% from three), and Iona’s defense has been strong against the three (30.9% allowed). If Iona controls the game early, the second half often turns into longer possessions and fewer transition chances, which is the type of script that protects an Under even if the favorite is comfortably ahead. The main risk is a foul-heavy finish if the spread stays in range late, but Rider’s scoring efficiency away from home makes a true shootout less likely than a game that grinds into the mid-to-high 130s.
Projected Score
Iona 74, Rider 60
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