Home»College Basketball»Creighton Bluejays vs Seton Hall Pirates Pick & Prediction - March 12, 2026

Creighton Bluejays vs Seton Hall Pirates Pick & Prediction – March 12, 2026

Mike McDermott Mike McDermott
Mike McDermott
Mike McDermott
Sports Betting & iGaming Strategist
Mike McDermott is a seasoned sports betting expert and iGaming strategist with over 20 years of real-world experience in casinos, sportsbooks, and online gambling operations. He’s been deeply involved in the evolution of the iGaming industry from the early days of dial-up poker rooms to today’s highly regulated digital platforms
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Sports Betting & iGaming Strategist, Updated March 12, 2026
Fact checked by: Alex Harper
Alex Harper
Alex Harper
Betting Education & Strategy Editor
Alex Harper is a betting education editor with more than 10 years of experience covering sports betting concepts, wager types, and responsible gambling practices. His work focuses on explaining betting mechanics clearly and accurately, including point spreads, totals, futures, parlays, and live betting markets. Alex’s guides are written to help bettors understand risk, probability, and betting structure rather than promote betting behavior.
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Creighton and Seton Hall meet Thursday, March 12, 2026 at 2:30 p.m. ET in the Big East Tournament quarterfinals at Madison Square Garden (New York, NY). Seton Hall finished 4th in the Big East (10-10), with Creighton 5th (9-11), so this profiles as a tight, half-court game on a neutral floor.

Seton Hall is a small favorite with a lower total that reflects its defense-first profile and slower tempo. Odds as of 8:46 a.m. ET on March 12, 2026.

Odds

Odds are from BetOnline.

TeamSpreadMoneylineTotal
Creighton+3.5 (-120)+126O 133.5 (-110) / U 133.5 (-110)
Seton Hall-3.5 (-102)-152O 133.5 (-110) / U 133.5 (-110)

Team Snapshot

Here is a quick side-by-side snapshot for bettors.

TeamRecord (Home/Road/Neutral)Last 10ATSOff EffDef EffTempoKey Injury Note
Creighton15-16 (10-6 / 4-8 / 1-2)3-710-21 (2-8 last 10)1.141.0668.5F Jackson McAndrew (foot) out; F Owen Freeman (undisclosed) questionable
Seton Hall20-11 (12-5 / 6-5 / 2-1)5-518-13 (5-5 last 10)1.070.9666.1G Jahseem Felton (knee) out; C Godswill Erheriene (undisclosed) questionable; F Pat Suemnick (shoulder) questionable

Recent Form & Statistical Edge

Creighton

Creighton enters with a poor market profile lately (2-8 ATS over its last 10) despite playing faster than Seton Hall (68.5 tempo). The Bluejays lean into 3s as a primary shot diet with a 3PA/FGA rate of 47.95% and they are hitting 35.0% from three, but they have not separated from opponents on the scoreboard (75.6 points scored per game, 75.1 allowed).

The efficiency data points to why covering has been tough: Creighton’s turnover margin is -1.6 per game (11.4 turnovers per game), and it is slightly negative on the glass (-0.5 rebounding margin). Injury-wise, Jackson McAndrew remains out (foot) and Owen Freeman is listed questionable, which matters for frontcourt depth against Seton Hall’s offensive rebounding.

Seton Hall

Seton Hall’s identity is defense and disruption: 65.1 points allowed per game, +3.3 turnover margin, 9.3 steals per game, and 5.7 blocks per game. That defense also shows up in opponent shooting (40.3% allowed from the field) and a slower overall pace (66.1), both of which help keep totals down (12-19 O/U on the season).

Offensively, the Pirates are not a spacing team (30.5% from three), so their best scoring paths are second-chance chances (35.93% offensive rebounding rate) and getting to the stripe. The caution note is foul risk on the other end: Seton Hall’s defensive FTA/FGA is 41.93, so if whistles are tight, Creighton’s offense can be stabilized at the line.

Matchup Keys

  • Tempo and game script: Seton Hall plays slower (66.1) and wins by defense; that typically compresses possessions and increases the value of each turnover and rebound.
  • 3-point math vs 3-point defense: Creighton shoots 35.0% from three and is high-volume from deep; Seton Hall holds opponents to 32.8% from three, a strong counter to Creighton’s main scoring lever.
  • Turnovers: Seton Hall is +3.3 in turnover margin and forces 14.5 opponent turnovers per game; Creighton is -1.6 in turnover margin and has struggled to cover spreads during a turnover-prone stretch.
  • Rebounding: Seton Hall is +2.5 in rebounding margin and crashes offensively (35.93% OReb rate); Creighton is -0.5 in rebounding margin, so second-chance points are a real swing factor.
  • Rest and travel: Creighton last played March 4 (eight days before tip) and travels to New York; Seton Hall last played March 6 and is effectively local for MSG.

Best Bet

Under 133.5 (-110).

Seton Hall’s defense has been consistent across the full season (65.1 points allowed per game) and its O/U profile strongly skews Under (12-19). On a neutral floor with Seton Hall’s slower tempo (66.1), Creighton likely needs above-average 3-point efficiency to push this game into the high 60s. Add in Seton Hall’s turnover pressure (14.5 opponent turnovers per game) and the Under has multiple ways to get there even if one team spikes at the line.

Projected Score

Seton Hall 67, Creighton 63

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