The most-anticipated game of this Champions League Round 5 is surely the one between two European giants on Wednesday, October 26, so make sure you don’t miss out on the best Barcelona vs. Bayern Munich betting pick and odds.
Barcelona are desperate for three points when they welcome Bayern Munich at Camp Nou. Barcelona are +135 favorites on BookMaker Sportsbook; a draw is at +300, while Bayern Munich can be backed at +180. These teams have already faced in this competition this season, and Bayern Munich won 2-0 in Germany.
Barcelona must get a win on Wednesday
Barcelona no longer hold their Champions League destiny in their own hands after a 3-3 home draw with Inter Milan. They must target wins in the final two group games, starting with this one against Bayern Munich, while hoping other results go their way. Looking to avenge September’s 2-0 H2H defeat in Munich, it should help that they come into this tilt after an encouraging 4-0 LaLiga victory over Athletic Bilbao.
It was Blaugrana’s second straight win ‘to nil’ at home after leading 3-0 at half-time, and the Camp Nou will be rocking as they attempt to avoid being knocked out of the UCL by the Bavarians for the second consecutive campaign! Ominously though, while Barca are unbeaten in four UCL home games (W2, D2), that run started following a 3-0 loss here to Bayern last season, so Xavi’s side has every reason to be cautious.
Ousmane Dembélé netted Barcelona’s 4,000th home (LL) goal on Sunday, opening the scoring for the second time in their last three games at home. He is a player to watch for the hosts, alongside inevitable Robert Lewandowski, Bayern’s former striker.
Xavi cannot count on Ronald Araujo (muscle), Andreas Christensen (ankle), Memphis Depay (muscle), and Sergi Roberto (shoulder). Gavi is questionable with a muscle injury.
Bayern have no worries ahead of this Camp Nou tilt
The defending Bundesliga champions have dominated Barcelona in recent years, winning the previous five H2Hs while scoring an average of 3.8 goals per contest. While Bayern Munich already qualified for the knockout stage, the Germans will definitely be looking to add another victory, which would be the fifth in a row following a 2-0 win over Hoffenheim in Bundesliga.
The Bavarians won both UCL games on the road this season by a two-goal margin and have remarkably lost only one of their last 28 UCL games on the road (W22, D5)! The only loss came on Spanish soil, interestingly, when Bayern lost to Villarreal last year.
For the visitors, Thomas Muller is a man to watch. Muller scored a first-half goal here last season, doing likewise in Bayern’s most recent UCL away fixture against Plzen.
Julian Nagelsmann will be without Lucas Hernandez (groin), Manuel Neuer (shoulder), and Leroy Sane (thigh).
Trends:
Barcelona:
- Unbeaten at home this season (all competitions)
- Kept the clean sheet in four of the last five at Camp Nou
- Scored 2+ goals in six of the previous seven games at home
Bayern Munich:
- Undefeated in the last seven games (all competitions)
- Scored 2+ goals in each of the previous seven games
Barcelona vs. Bayern Munich Pick
Barcelona must get three points here and hope that Inter will drop points against Plzen in Milan, which is not very possible. Bayern will be playing without any pressure and that can only bring pain for the hosts, who don’t know how to play the Bavarians in recent years. Bayern was better in each of the last five H2Hs. The fans still remember a devastating 8-2 defeat to Bayern a couple of years ago, and instead of bouncing back, Barca failed to score in the next three H2Hs, losing all three in the process. Barcelona are in excellent home form, which is the only reason I am going with a draw, along with the fact that Bayern already booked their ticket for the knockouts.
Pick: Draw (+300)
The Total
As I mentioned earlier, Barcelona didn’t score in the last three H2H duels and they can’t hope to get a win without scoring, so I am backing them to find the back of the net here. Bayern are a goal-scoring machine, and even though they play without an imperative to win, I am pretty sure they will score at least once. The odds for both teams to score are rather low, so I will be back BTTS in combination with Over 2.5 goals.
Pick: BTTS Yes & Over 2.5 goals (-160)